1 July 2014

News Letters May & Jun 2014




Spring 2014, Vol. 44 No. 1


Special Commentary


by Michael G. Roskin

On Military Interventions


by David H. Ucko and Robert C. Egnell


by Stephen Watts and Stephanie Pezard

Challenges for Pacific Command


by Michael Spangler


by Andrew Scobell and Mark Cozad

Reconsidering Future War


by Robert Johnson


by Michael Evans

Reserve Components: Point-Counterpoint

by James D. Campbell

by James "Rick" Morrison

DEPARTMENTS



Review Essays 
by Ulrike Esther Franke 
by W. Andrew Terrill 

Predicting War 
Strategic Flexibility 
Urban Fighting 
World War II 
The Civil War 






No Arab Spring for Algeria
May 2014

Why has Algeria avoided a popular uprising similar to those that brought down authoritarian governments in Tunisia, Libya, and Egypt? This brief explores how the government has managed to maintain the status quo while also arguing that it risks future instability if it doesn’t embrace serious political and economic reforms.

© 2014 The Atlantic Council of the United States

Download:
Author:
Mohsin Khan, Karim Mezran


Publisher:
Navy Irregular Warfare and Counterterrorism Operations

5 June 2014
Navy Irregular Warfare and Counterterrorism Operations
Background and Issues for Congress

This report provides background information and potential issues for Congress on the US Navy’s irregular warfare (IW) and counterterrorism (CT) operations. The Navy’s IW and CT activities pose a number of potential oversight issues for Congress. These include the definition of Navy IW activities and how much emphasis to place on IW and CT activities in future Navy budgets. Congress’s decisions regarding Navy IW and CT operations can affect Navy operations and funding requirements, and the implementation of the nation’s overall IW and CT strategies.

Download:
Author:
Ronald O'Rourke
Series:
Publisher:

========Decoding China’s Emerging “Great Power” Strategy in Asia

Contributor: Ernest Z. Bower, Victor D. Cha, Michael J. Green, and Matthew P. Goodman 
Jun 11, 2014 

China’s reemergence as a great power over the next few decades represents the primary strategic challenge for the U.S.-Japan security alliance and for the East Asian security landscape writ large. A clearer understanding of the fundamental underpinnings and trajectory of China’s foreign policy and security strategies toward the region is necessary to navigate these challenges and assure stability and prosperity in Asia. As such, this report seeks to illuminate the new Chinese leadership’s preoccupations, priorities, and policy predilections so that key stakeholders in East and Southeast Asia can determine how they can contribute both individually and collectively to keeping Asia safe and prosperous in a period of great uncertainty and diminishing resources. 

ISBN 978-1-4422-4018-6 (pb); 978-1-4422-4019-3 (eBook) 

EXTERNAL ENGAGEMENTS
a symposium on the challenges facing our
foreign and security policies

June 2014

A short statement of the issues involved

Srinath Raghavan, Senior Fellow, Centre for Policy Research, Delhi

Pranay Sharma, Senior Editor, 'Outlook', Delhi

Rudra Chaudhuri, Senior Lecturer, Department of War Studies, The King's India Institute, King's College London

Zorawar Daulet Singh, doctoral candidate, The King's India Institute, King's College London

Tanvi Madan, Director, The India Project, and Fellow, Foreign Policy Programme, the Brookings Institution, Washington, DC

Anit Mukherjee, Assistant Professor, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Singapore

Arunabha Ghosh, CEO, Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW), Delhi

Pradeep S. Mehta, Secretary General, Consumer Unity and Trust Society, andChenai Mukumba, Assistant Policy Analyst, CUTS, Centre for International Trade, Economics and Environment, Jaipur

Rohan Mukherjee, doctoral candidate, Department of Politics, Princeton University, New Jersey

Sandeep Bhardwaj, Research Associate, Centre for Policy Research, Delhi

Reviewed by Pallavi Raghavan and Karthik Nachiappan

A select and relevant bibliography

BACKPAGE


SEMINARS/CONFERENCES 


30 April 2014 

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Recent Publications 
Added June 26, 2014 

Authored by Dr. Robert Nalbandov. 


Ukraine, Georgia, and Belarus have remarkable variance and incongruence between their levels of democratization, political stability, and economic development. This monograph by Dr. Robert Nalbandov explains the reasons for the different indicators in the three categories and explains the successes and failures of the democratization efforts in three post-Soviet countries. 

Added June 24, 2014 

Authored by Lieutenant Colonel Clarence J. Bouchat (USAF, Ret.). 


Learn how the Paracel Islands disputes act as a primer about the South China Sea conflicts and U.S., Vietnamese, and Chinese relations in the region. This analysis may help the reader better understand these disputes, and how the United States may address them. 

Added June 19, 2014 

Authored by COL John D. Ellis, COL (Ret.) Laura McKnight Mackenzie. 


Despite fighting shoulder-to-shoulder this past decade, the U.S. Army is comprised of essentially “three Armies”—the active component, the Army Reserve, and the National Guard. While an intriguing start to integrate the three components, the Army Total Force Policy is not a panacea for reform. Real and meaningful work still needs to be done to bring the three into effective alignment and in a way to foster cooperation and mutual respect. 

Added June 17, 2014 

Edited by Mr. Henry D. Sokolski. 


The further proliferation and possible use of nuclear weapons are among the very greatest threats to U.S. and international security, yet most governments and industry officials downplay the risks of civilian nuclear technology and materials being diverted to make bombs. They use this optimistic assessment in formulating U.S. and international nuclear trade and nonproliferation policies. This volume taps the insights and analyses of 13 top nuclear and security experts to weigh the validity of their narrative. The result is a comprehensive counternarrative that recommends a significant tightening of current nonproliferation controls. 

Added June 17, 2014 

Edited by Professor John F. Troxell. 

For several years, the Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) has annually published the Key Strategic Issues List (KSIL). The purpose of this document is to make students and other researchers aware of strategic topics that are of special interest to the U.S. Army. Part I of KSIL is entitled "Army Priorities for Strategic Analysis" (APSA) and is a list of high-priority topics organized to support the Army's five strategic objectives as identified in the "2014 Army Strategic Planning Guidance." Students and researchers are encouraged to get in touch with the topic sponsors listed in the document. Thorough research and solid arguments on these topics are extremely important to the Army in this period of transition and geopolitical uncertainty. 

Added June 13, 2014 

Authored by Dr. Paul Kamolnick. 


Fighting the War of Deeds begins by taking deeds seriously—deadly serious—as action, policy, and communication. As communication, deeds furnish the U.S. Government a uniquely potent means for countering al-Qaeda’s terrorist propaganda effectively, and also building longer-term alliances based on mutuality with the Arab and Muslim world. 

Added June 13, 2014 

Authored by Dr. Harsh V. Pant. 


This monograph examines the evolution on Sino-India ties over the last few decades and the constraints that continue to inhibit this relationship from achieving its full potential before delineating the implications of this for the United States and the wider international system. 

Added June 13, 2014 

Authored by Mr. Nathan P. Freier. 

The 25th Annual U.S. Army War College Strategy Conference "Balancing the Joint Force to Meet Future Security Challenges" occurred against the backdrop of a complicated decision making environment. It sought establish a context for future military decision making based on two foundational questions: what are the most important military demands facing U.S./partner forces through the next decade and how should they think about confronting them? The author endeavors to describe the context that emerged here. 

Added June 11, 2014 

Authored by Dr. Thomas M. Chen. 


This monograph examines the threat of cyberterrorism before and after STUXNET by addressing questions of motive, means, and opportunity. STUXNET has not changed the near-term likelihood of cyberterrorism, which remains low, but has implications for the cost-benefit weights of future attacks. 

Added June 03, 2014 

Authored by Dr. John R. Deni. 


The U.S. Army's forward presence in the Pacific theater is long overdue for reconsideration and reconceptualization. Without unduly harming America's commitment to deterrence on the Korean peninsula, the Army forward presence could be reshaped and reconfigured to enable the United States to more effectively and more efficiently achieve its objectives across the Indo-Asia-Pacific region. 

Added May 23, 2014 

Authored by Leslie S. Lebl. 


Bosnia-Herzegovina, once thought to be on the way to joining the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the European Union (EU), is instead falling behind, mired in political bickering, economic stalemate and governmental dysfunction. In this difficult situation, Islamism poses a significant threat to Bosnia’s fragile domestic stability. 

Added May 16, 2014 

Authored by Dr. Jean-Loup Samaan. 


Over the last 7 years, the border between Israel and Lebanon has remained quiet. Against all odds, in a Middle East experiencing tremendous challenges, Israel and Hezbollah did not trigger a new conflict. Here is the paradox of stability between these two foes which is at the origin of this monograph. 

Added May 13, 2014 

Authored by Dr. Thomas R. Mockaitis. 


What roles have security contractors played in missions in Iraq and Afghanistan? 

Added May 06, 2014 

Authored by Dr. Azeem Ibrahim. 


The Syrian civil war has allowed al-Qaeda to recover from its setbacks up to 2010. Syria has also seen a civil war between two al-Qaeda inspired factions (Al Nusrah and the Iraq based Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant) and indicates there are limits to its ability to cooperate with other anti-Assad factions and gain popular appeal. 

Added May 05, 2014 

Authored by Keir Giles, Dr. Andrew Monaghan. 


This Letort Paper assesses the range of options available to Russia for closing the capability gap with the United States and its allies, the authors review a flawed political perception of the key threats facing Russia and the challenges facing Russia’s military transformation. 

Added May 02, 2014 

Authored by Dr. Richard J. Krickus. 


This monograph addresses the question: "What next after Putin?" The answer will have a profound impact on U.S.-Russian relations—in particular, the capacity to forge a security relationship. The campaign to eliminate Syria's chemical weapons indicates that a new "reset" is in the making. 

Added April 30, 2014 

Authored by Dr. Don M. Snider, COL (USA Ret) Alexander P. Shine. 


Are the Stewards of the Army Profession developing a culture that fosters the necessary integration of Soldiers' personal moralities with the Profession's Ethic? The authors suggest that they are not. 

Added April 25, 2014 

Authored by Dr. George W. Grayson. 


Few cartel leaders acquire fame for culinary skills. However, Miguel Ángel “El 40” Treviño Morales, the sadistic erstwhile chief of Los Zetas, became skilled in preparing "el guiso" (the stew). His recipe is simple. After torturing a victim, even an infant, he plunged him into a 55-gallon pig cooker, doused him with gasoline, and set him on fire. 

Added April 22, 2014 

Edited by Mr. Roy Kamphausen, Dr. David Lai, Mr. Travis Tanner. 


How has President Hu Jintao contributed to China’s military modernization? 

Added April 16, 2014 

Edited by Dr. John R. Deni. 


The role of allies and partners in the future of American Landpower is discussed. 

Added March 31, 2014 

Authored by Dr. Ariel Cohen. 


Understanding the conflict in North Caucasus may be the key to understanding the future of the post-communist Russian state and its interaction with Islam, as well as regional mountainous insurgencies. The region’s turbulent past and present make it a potential source of future waves of instability both within Russia and abroad—especially if the Kremlin and the Russian and local elites fail to deal with accumulating local economic, social, religious, and political pressures. 

Added March 19, 2014 

Authored by Dr. Colin S. Gray. 


What do we believe we know about the future with sufficient reliability for it to serve as a basis for defense planning? Science and social science are both utterly disarmed by the complete absence of data about the future, from the future. 

Added March 12, 2014 

Authored by Bill Park. 


The withdrawal of U.S. combat forces from Iraq at the end of 2011 left behind a set of unresolved problems in the relationship between the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), and the Federal Government in Baghdad, compounded by Erbil’s subsequent pursuit of an energy relationship with Turkey. This has deepened both Turkish-Iraqi and regional sectarian tensions and, along with developments in Syria, has raised the specter of wider Kurdish self-determination, a prospect that Washington has been slow to recognize. 

Added March 11, 2014 

Authored by Keir Giles, Dr. Andrew Monaghan. 


The United States and its allies are in general agreement on the legal status of conflict in cyberspace. But other key cyber actors have radically different ideas on key concepts of cyber warfare, including when a state of war exists. This paper explores the Russian approach to legal constraints governing actions in cyberspace, in order to assist in formulating an effective response to Russian cyber initiatives. 

Added March 05, 2014 

Authored by Dr. Larry M. Wortzel. 


The Chinese government plans to establish a new air defense intercept zone which will include the Diaoyu or Senkaku Islands, sovereignty over which is disputed by Japan, China, and Taiwan. Due to complaints of cyber penetrations attributed to the Chinese People’s Liberation Army, U.S. Departments of Justice, Homeland Security, and State are devising new means to protect intellectual property and secrets from the PLA’s computer network operations. 

Added February 14, 2014 

Authored by Lieutenant Colonel (Ret) Michael J. Colarusso, Lieutenant Colonel David S. Lyle. 


Former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates characterized the "greatest challenges facing the Army" as the "institutional and bureaucratic constipation" of its officer management systems. In this book, Mike Colarusso and Dave Lyle examine the Army's industrial-era personnel practices and prescribe a senior officer talent management approach that they believe is better suited to the demands of tomorrow. 

Added January 08, 2014 

Edited by Dr. John R. Deni. 

The rapidly changing global energy supply situation, coupled with a host of social, political, and economic challenges facing consumer states, has significant implications for the United States generally and for the U.S. military specifically. The U.S. Army War College gathered experts from the policymaking community, academia, think tanks, the private sector, and the military services at the Reserve Officers Association in Washington, DC on 19-20 November 2013 to address first the major ‘new realities’ both geographically and technologically and then the specific military implications. This compendium of executive summaries is based on the presentations delivered at that conference, which was funded through the generous support of the U.S. Army War College Foundation. 

Added December 30, 2013 

Authored by David E. Brown. 


Two key long-term energy trends are shifting the strategic balance between the United States and China, the world’s superpower rivals in the 21st century: first, a domestic boom in U.S. shale oil and gas dramatically boosting America’s energy security; second, the frenetic and successful search for hydrocarbons in Africa making it an increasingly crucial element in China’s energy diversification strategy. 


Added December 27, 2013 

Authored by Lieutenant Colonel Clarence J. Bouchat (USAF, Ret.). 


The Spratly Islands disputes are the nexus of interests and clashes for U.S. partners and competitors that will draw in the United States as it involves itself more in Asia-Pacific issues. This analysis may help readers to better understand these disputes and how the United States may better address them. 

Added December 10, 2013 

Edited by Dr. Stephen J. Blank. 


Is this the beginning of the end for Putin's system? The authors investigate the structural bases for Russia's domestic challenges, if not crisis.

IPCS DEBATE AND SPECIAL FOCUS
PIVOT & REBALANCE IN THE ASIA-PACIFIC 
American Strategies from West to East Asia 
Rim of the Pacific Exercises (RIMPAC): Thaw in China-US Tensions?
Dr Vijay Sakhuja, June 2014
The Enigmatic Case of Bowe Bergdahl
Prof PR Chari, June 2014
US Foreign Policy: Rehashing Old Stances
Prof Chintamani Mahapatra, June 2014

TALI-QAEDA READER
IPCS Analyses on Taliban and al Qaeda 
Al Qaeda & Taliban Tracker
TTP and the Karachi Airport Attack
D Suba Chandran, June 2014
Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan: The Mehsud Breakaway
Riffath Khaji, June 2014
Taliban after Afghan Elections: Spring Offensive or the Last Stand?
D Suba Chandran, June 2014
The Karachi Taliban
Riffath Khaji, May 2014

THE MARITIME GREAT GAME
India, China, US and the Indian Ocean 
China's 'Salami Slicing' in the SCS: What's Next?
Teshu Singh, June 2014
Indian Ocean Navies: Lessons from the Pacific
Vijay Sakhuja, June 2014
China-Vietnam: The Oil Rig Non-diplomacy
Roomana Hukil, June 2014
South China Sea: China's Renewed Confrontation and ASEAN Options
Abanti Bhattacharya, May 2014

AF-PAK PLUS
Afghanistan, Pakistan and Iran
Comprehensive Nuclear Agreement with Iran: One Month Endgame
Ayesha Khanyari, July 2014
Afghanistan: Political Crises After the Presidential Run-off
Mariam Safi, June 2014
The Enigmatic Case of Bowe Bergdahl,
Prof PR Chari, June 2014
Taliban after Afghan Elections: Spring Offensive or the Last Stand?
D Suba Chandran, June 2014
ISIL, Iraq and Securing India’s Interests
Adil Rasheed, June 2014

NEIGHBOURHOOD WATCH
Bangladesh & Myanmar 
Bangladesh
India-Bangladesh: Hope for a New Beginning
Harun ur Rashid, June 2014
Dhaka as the Gateway to India’s Look East Policy
D Suba Chandran, June 2014
Bangladesh-Myanmar Border Skirmishes: Who, What and Why
Dibya Shikha, June 2014
Bangladesh: A New Thrust Towards East Asia
Prof Delwar Hossain, June 2014

Myanmar
Bangladesh-Myanmar Border Skirmishes: Who, What and Why
Dibya Shikha, June 2014
Myanmar’s National Census: Fuelling Ethnic Crises
Aparupa Bhattacherjee, June 2014
Rohingya Crisis: An Agenda for the Regional and International Communities
Dibya Shikha, May 2014

NEIGHBOURHOOD WATCH
Nepal and Sri Lanka 

Nepal
The Maoist Model of Ethnic Federalism: A Nepali Perspective
Subin Nepal, July 2014
Nepal: Globalisation and Identity Politics
Sohan Prasad Sha, June 2014
Modi and Nepal-India Relations
Pramod Jaiswal, June 2014
Nepal: Challenges to Constitution-Making
Pramod Jaiswal, May 2014

Sri Lanka
India-Sri Lanka: Expanding on the Shades of Grey
Ramesh Ramachandran, April 2014
India-Sri Lanka: Conflict over Fishing Rights
Kuhan Madhan, January 2014
CHOGAM, India and Sri Lanka: New Delhi’s Missed Opportunities
N Manoharan, November 2013
  

 American Enterprise Institute
·         Taiwan-US-Japan Trilateral Security Dialogue Conference Papers http://www.aei.org/issue/foreign-and-defense-policy/taiwan-us-japan-trilateral-security-dialogue-conference-papers/
·         U.S.-China Relations: A New Type of Great Power Relationship?        http://www.aei.org/files/2014/05/28/-chenguschinarelationstaiwanusjapantrilateral_155200357110.pdf
  
 Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset
·         ACLED Conflict Trends Report no. 27, June 2014: Real-time Analysis of African Political Violence http://www.acleddata.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/ACLED-Conflict-Trends-Report-No.-27-June-2014.pdf

ASU Center for Strategic Communication
·         The Narrative Landscape of al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb http://csc.asu.edu/wp-content/uploads/pdf/csc1401-aqim-narrative-landscape.pdf

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)
·         Fighting Fire with Fire: Target Audience Responses to Online Anti-Violence Campaigns https://www.aspi.org.au/publications/fighting-fire-with-fire-target-audience-responses-to-online-anti-violence-campaigns/Fight_fire_long_paper_web.pdf

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies
 British American Security Information Council (BASIC)
·         Experience of Nuclear Weapon-Free Zones http://www.basicint.org/sites/default/files/finaud_nwfz-fin_1.pdf

Brookings
·         The Big Snoop: Life, Liberty, and the Pursuit of Terrorists http://www.brookings.edu/research/essays/2014/big-snoop
·         Databuse and a Trusteeship Model of Consumer Protection in the Big Data Era http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/papers/2014/06/04-data-abuse-privacy-wittes-bennett/wittes-and-bennett_databuse.pdf

Canadian Defense & Foreign Affairs Institute (CDFAI)
·         Biometric-Based Authentication for Cyberworld Security: Challenges and Opportunities http://www.cdfai.org/PDF/Biometric-Based%20Authentification%20for%20Cyberworld%20Security.pdf

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
·         Corruption: The Unrecognized Threat to International Security http://carnegieendowment.org/files/corruption_and_security.pdf
·          
·         A U.S. Strategy Toward Egypt Under Sisi http://carnegieendowment.org/files/us_strategy_under_sisi.pdf

CATO Institute
·         Worst of Both: The Rise of High-Cost, Low-Capacity Rail Transit http://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/pa750_web.pdf

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)
·         Creative Disruption: Technology, Strategy and the Future of the Global Defense Industry http://www.cnas.org/tech-strategy-future-global-defense-industry

Center for International Policy
·         Putting Governance at the Heart of Security Sector Reform http://www.ciponline.org/images/uploads/publications/Putting_governance_at_the_heart_of_SSR.pdf
Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)
·         Internal Tensions in Iran: Some Underlying Metrics http://csis.org/files/publication/140604_iran_metrics.pdf
·         New Energy, New Geopolitics: Background Report 1: Energy Impacts http://csis.org/files/publication/140529_Ladislaw_NewEnergyNewGeopolitics_Background1_WEB.pdf
·         New Energy, New Geopolitics: Background Report 2: Geopolitical and National Security Impacts  http://csis.org/files/publication/140605_Ladislaw_NewEnergyNewGeopolitics_background2_Web.pdf
·         New Energy, New Geopolitics: Background Report 3: Scenarios, Strategies, and Pathways http://csis.org/files/publication/140605_Ladislaw_NewEnergyNewGeopolitics_background3_Web.pdf
·       
Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs
·         A Low-Visibility Force Multiplier: Assessing China’s Cruise Missile Ambitions http://ndupress.ndu.edu/Portals/68/Documents/Books/force-multiplier.pdf

Centre for International and Strategic Analysis (SISA)
·         The National Internal Security Policy of Pakistan - An Assessment http://strategiskanalyse.no/Publikasjoner%202014/2014-06-05_SISA25_NISP_Challenges_Ahead_MZ.pdf

Centre for Military and Strategic Studies
·         Journal of Military and Strategic Studies, 2014, v. 15, no. 3 http://www.jmss.org/jmss/index.php/jmss/issue/view/67
o    The (Re)-Gathering of the Russian People?
o    The Disciplinary Gaze of the Camera’s Eye: Soldiers’ Conscience and Moral Responsibility
o    The Limits and Implications of the Air-Sea Battle Concept: A Japanese Perspective
o    Swiss Neutrality Examined: Model, Exception or Both?
o    A Reflection On Leadership: A Comparative Analysis Of Military And Civilian Approaches
o    Nowhere May They Roam: Ottoman Area-Denial Operations and Lessons for the Strait of Hormuz
o    Transitional Fossils of the Atomic Age: Regulus and Sea Master
o    Preparing for Peace in Time of War: Canada and the Post-Hostilities Planning Committees, 1943-1945
o    Strategic Influence Reconsidered: Defence Research and Combat Development in Canada’s Early Cold War Army
o    Defense at the Forward Edge of the Battle or rather in the Depth? Different approaches to implement NATO’s operation plans by the alliance partners, 1955-1988
o    Preparing for the War of the Future in the Wake of Defeat: The Evolution of German Strategic Thought, 1919-1935
o    The Past as Future: The US Army's Vision of Warfare in the 21st Century"

 Congress. Senate. Foreign Relations Committee
Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)
·         The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) http://www.cfr.org/nato/north-atlantic-treaty-organization-nato/p28287

Department of Defense (DOD)
·         Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments Involving the People's Republic of China 2014 http://www.defense.gov/pubs/2014_DoD_China_Report.pdf
Department of State
·         Promoting Peace in Burma http://www.state.gov/j/cso/releases/other/2014/227026.htm

East-West Center
·         Hub and Spokes: How US Allies in Asia Can Contribute to the US Rebalance http://www.eastwestcenter.org/download/7120/34607/apb265.pdf

Energy Information Agency (EIA)
·         United Kingdom Country Analysis Brief - June 2014 http://www.eia.gov/countries/cab.cfm?fips=UK

Estonian Center of Eastern Partnership
·         The Third Republic—Ukraine Struggles Its Way Through to Europe http://www.razumkov.org.ua/upload/1401800470_file.pdf

European Council on Foreign Relations
·         Détente with Iran; How Europe can Maximise the Chances of a Final Nuclear Deal http://www.ecfr.eu/publications/summary/detente_with_iran_how_europe_can_maximise_the_chances_of_a_final_nuclea309
·         The EU’s Sanctions Regime Against Iran in the Aftermath of the JPA http://www.ecfr.eu/publications/summary/the_eus_sanctions_regime_against_iran_in_the_aftermath_of_the_jpa310
·         Russia’s “Pivot” to Eurasia http://www.ecfr.eu/publications/summary/russias_pivot_to_eurasia310

European Policy Centre (EPC)
·   
·         Ukraine - Trying to Build a Future Beyond the Past http://www.epc.eu/documents/uploads/pub_4500_ukraine_-_trying_to_build_a_future_beyond_the_past.pdf

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)
·         A Limited Disclosure Nuclear Agreement with Iran: Promise or Peril?  http://www.fpri.org/docs/gambill_-_iran_nuc_nondisclosure_0.pdf

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         The Russia-Ukraine Crisis: Preliminary Reflections on Turkey’s Policy http://www.gmfus.org/wp-content/blogs.dir/1/files_mf/1402077636Kardas_RussiaUkraineTurkey_Jun14.pdf

Global Military Advisory Council on Climate Change (GMACCC)
·         Climate Change: Implications for Defence http://gmaccc.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/AR5_Summary_Defence.pdf

Heritage Foundation
·         After the Election—Opportunity for Revitalizing U.S.–India Relations http://thf_media.s3.amazonaws.com/2014/pdf/BG2919.pdf
·        
·         To Defeat Al-Qaeda in Iraq, Stronger Counterterrorism Cooperation Needed http://thf_media.s3.amazonaws.com/2014/pdf/IB4234.pdf

Infinity Journal
·         Infinity Journal, Winter 2014, v. 3, no. 4 http://www.infinityjournal.com/
o    Politics, Strategy and the Stream of Time
o    Beyond Strategy as a Means to an End
o    North Korean Provocations Gone Nuclear: What Happens Next & How the U.S. Can Prevent it in the First Place
o    Blurred Lines: The Myth of Guerrilla Tactics
o    The Fox and the Hedgehog: Contrasting Approaches to Anticipating the Environment
o    Strategy and the Use of Covert Operations: The Failed Attempts to Overthrow Saddem Hussein

Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS)
·         Five Compromises to Avoid in a Comprehensive Agreement with Iran http://isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/Five_Bad_Compromises_3June2014-final.pdf

Institute for Security & Development Policy
·         It's Democracy, Stupid: Reappraising the Middle-Income Trap http://www.isdp.eu/images/stories/isdp-main-pdf/2014-rudengren-rylander-casanova-reappraising-the-middle-income-trap.pdf

Institute for Security Studies (ISS)
·         Engaging the Private Sector in Africa's Peaceful Development http://www.issafrica.org/uploads/PolBrief55_2014.pdf
·         Peace and Security Council Report No 59 http://www.issafrica.org/uploads/PSC59_%20June_14English.pdf

Institute for the Study of War
·         Syria Update [May 30, 2014] - Regime Air Activity in Hama: 1,800 Sorties in 50 Days http://iswsyria.blogspot.com/2014/05/air-sorties-in-northern-hama-province.html

Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies
·         BIMSTEC: Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow http://www.ipcs.org/pdf_file/issue/SR163-Interview-BIMSTEC.pdf

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

Integrity Watch Afghanistan
·         National Corruption Survey, 2014 http://www.iwaweb.org/ncs/_2014/docs/national_corruption_survey_2014_english.pdf

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)
·         UK Measures Rendering Terror Suspects Stateless: A Punishment More Primitive Than Torture http://www.icct.nl/publications/icct-commentaries/uk-measures-rendering-terror-suspects-stateless-a-punishment-more-primitive-than-torture

International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation (ICSR)
·         Greenbirds: Measuring Importance and Influence in Syrian Foreign Fighter Networks http://icsr.info/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/ICSR-Report-Greenbirds-Measuring-Importance-and-Infleunce-in-Syrian-Foreign-Fighter-Networks.pdf

International Crisis Group

International Monetary Fund (IMF)
·         Arab Countries in Transition - An Update on Economic Outlook and Key Challenges http://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2014/040914.pdf

Jamestown Foundation
·         China Brief, June 4, 2014, v. 14, no. 11 http://www.jamestown.org/uploads/media/China_Brief_Vol_14_Issue_11.pdf
o    Forgetting Tiananmen, and What Came Before It
o    The Energy Context behind China’s Drilling Rig in the South China Sea
o    A Legal Sea Change in the South China Sea: Ramifications of the Philippines’ ITLOS Case
o    China’s Information Management in the Sino-Vietnamese Confrontation: Caution and Sophistication in the Internet Era

Long War Journal
·         Charting the Data for US Air Strikes in Yemen, 2002 - 2014 [updated June 5, 2014] http://www.longwarjournal.org/multimedia/Yemen/code/Yemen-strike.php

Lowy Institute for International Policy
·         Lowy Institute Poll 2014 http://www.lowyinstitute.org/files/2014-lowy-institute-poll.pdf

Mohammed bin Rashid School of Government
·         Arab World Online 2014: Trends in Internet and Mobile Usage in the Arab Region http://www.mbrsg.ae/getattachment/ff70c2c5-0fce-405d-b23f-93c198d4ca44/The-Arab-World-Online-2014-Trends-in-Internet-and.aspx

National Academies Press
·         Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals:  Volume 17 http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=18796
·         Developing Assessments for the Next Generation Science Standards http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=18409
·         Linkages Between Arctic Warming and Mid-Latitude Weather Patterns:  Summary of a Workshop http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=18727
·         Summary: Emerging and Readily Available Technologies and National Security:  A Framework for Addressing Ethical, Legal, and Societal Issues http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=18750

National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP)
·         A Guide for Public Transportation Pandemic Planning and Response http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/nchrp/nchrp_rpt_769.pdf
·         Response to Extreme Weather Impacts on Transportation Systems http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/nchrp/nchrp_syn_454.pdf

National Security Archive
·         Inside the UN Security Council: April-July 1994 http://www2.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB472/
·         Tiananmen at 25 Years http://www2.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB473/
·         The United States and the Two Koreas, Part II: 1969-2010 http://www2.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB474/

NATO Cooperative Cyber Defence Centre of Excellence
·         NATO on Its Way Towards a Comfort Zone in Cyber Defence https://www.ccdcoe.org/publications/TP_Vol1No3_Krause.pdf

Notre Europe - Institut Jacques Delors
·         Who Will the Commission's Next President Be? A Multiple-choice Question http://www.eng.notre-europe.eu/media/presidentcommission-bertoncini-chopin-ne-jdi-frs-june14.pdf

Norwegian Peacebuilding Resource Centre
·         Arrested Democracy: Why Thailand Needs a New Social Contract http://www.peacebuilding.no/var/ezflow_site/storage/original/application/bbb530a14764f8e7cc726d1e0060efcd.pdf
·         “Don’t poke the Russian bear”: Turkish policy in the Ukrainian crisis http://www.peacebuilding.no/var/ezflow_site/storage/original/application/a5fa13f65a0a0fcece44339be2957279.pdf

Overseas Development Institute (ODI)
·         Against the Odds: Mozambique's Gains in Primary Health Care http://www.odi.org.uk/sites/odi.org.uk/files/odi-assets/publications-opinion-files/8981.pdf
·         Aiding Institutional Reform in Developing Countries: Lessons from the Philippines on What Works, What Doesn't and Why http://www.odi.org.uk/sites/odi.org.uk/files/odi-assets/publications-opinion-files/8978.pdf
·         The Humanitarian Implications of the Crisis in Ukraine http://www.odi.org.uk/sites/odi.org.uk/files/odi-assets/publications-opinion-files/8989.pdf
·         Neglected Tropical Diseases: The Case of Cambodia http://www.odi.org.uk/sites/odi.org.uk/files/odi-assets/publications-opinion-files/8983.pdf
·         No Longer Neglected: Tackling Sierra Leone's Neglected Tropical Diseases http://www.odi.org.uk/sites/odi.org.uk/files/odi-assets/publications-opinion-files/8984.pdf

Oxfam
·         EU’s 2030 Energy and Climate Change Package: Fit for a Food and Energy-Secure World? http://oxfamilibrary.openrepository.com/oxfam/bitstream/10546/317668/1/ib-eu-2030-energy-climate-change-food-security-030614-en.pdf

Parliamentary Library of Australia

Peace Research Institute Oslo
·         Ukraine and the Role of the Security Forces in Popular Uprisings http://www.prio.org/Publications/Publication/?x=7413

Peacekeeping and Stability Operations Institute (PKSOI)
·         Preventing and Managing Conflict in an Unstable World http://pksoi.army.mil/PKM/publications/papers/download.cfm?paper_File=PKSOI_Intern_Papers_final.pdf

Pew Research Global Attitudes Project
·         Brazilian Discontent Ahead of World Cup http://www.pewglobal.org/2014/06/03/brazilian-discontent-ahead-of-world-cup/

Pew Research Social & Demographic Trends
·         Growing Number of Dads Home with the Kids http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2014/06/05/growing-number-of-dads-home-with-the-kids/

Political Economy Research Institute (PERI)
·         From Internal Imbalances to Global Imbalances: A Survey on the Causes of China’s Export-Led Growth http://www.peri.umass.edu/fileadmin/pdf/working_papers/working_papers_351-400/WP352.pdf

Rand
·         Authorities and Options for Funding USSOCOM Operations http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR360.html
·         Initial Thoughts on the Impact of the Iraq War on U.S. National Security Structures http://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PE111.html
·         Making the Reserve Retirement System Similar to the Active System: Retention and Cost Estimates http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR530.html
·         A Persistent Threat: The Evolution of al Qa'ida and Other Salafi Jihadists http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR637.html
·         Re-Examining the Al Qa'ida Threat to the United States http://www.rand.org/pubs/testimonies/CT396-1.html
·         Satellite Anomalies: Benefits of a Centralized Anomaly Database and Methods for Securely Sharing Information Among Satellite Operators http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR560.html  
·         Securing America's Ports http://www.rand.org/pubs/testimonies/CT410.html

Response Systems to Adult Sexual Assault Crimes Panel
·         Report of the Comparative Systems Subcommittee to the Response Systems to Adult Sexual Assault Crimes Panel http://responsesystemspanel.whs.mil/Public/docs/Reports/01_CSS/CSS_Report_Final.pdf

Small Arms Survey
·         Small Arms Survey 2013: Everyday Dangers http://www.smallarmssurvey.org/?small-arms-survey-2013

Soufan Group

Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)
·         Remarks prepared for delivery by Special Inspector General John F. Sopko at the Effective Development in Conflict Zones Conference, San Diego, California http://www.sigar.mil/newsroom/ReadFile.aspx?SSR=7&SubSSR=29&File=speeches/14/UC San Diego Speech.html
·         SIGAR-14-61-SP Inquiry Letter: Afghan National Police Mobile Money Pilot Program Response  http://www.sigar.mil/pdf/special%20projects/SIGAR-14-61-SP.pdf
·         SIGAR 14-62-IP Baghlan Prison: Severe Damage to $11.3 Million Facility Requires Extensive Remedial Action http://www.sigar.mil/pdf/inspections/SIGAR-14-62-IP.pdf

Stimson Center
·         Making Public-Private Security Cooperation More Efficient, Effective And Sustainable http://www.stimson.org/images/uploads/research-pdfs/Stimson_Partners_in_Prevention_Task_Force_Report_May_2014.pdf

Strategic Studies Institute (SSI)
·         The Future of American Landpower: Does Forward Presence Still Matter? The Case of the Army in the Pacific http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/display.cfm?pubID=1202

Transnational Institute
·         Bouncing Back: Relapse in the Golden Triangle [Burma, Thailand and Laos] http://www.tni.org/briefing/bouncing-back
·         The New Alliance for Food Security and Nutrition http://www.tni.org/sites/www.tni.org/files/download/the_new_alliance.pdf
·         Reclaiming Agricultural Investment: Towards Public-Peasant Investment Synergies http://www.tni.org/sites/www.tni.org/files/download/reclaiming_agricultural_investment.pdf

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

Washington Institute for Near East Policy
·         Toward the Sisi Era: A New Page in U.S.-Egypt Relations? http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/toward-the-sisi-era-a-new-page-in-u.s.-egypt-relations

White House
·         FACT SHEET: The 2014 G-7 Summit in Brussels http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/06/05/fact-sheet-2014-g-7-summit-brussels
·         FACT SHEET: European Reassurance Initiative and Other U.S. Efforts in Support of NATO Allies and Partners http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/06/03/fact-sheet-european-reassurance-initiative-and-other-us-efforts-support-
·         FACT SHEET: Overview of U.S. Contributions to Peace and Security in Europe Since WWII http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/06/06/fact-sheet-overview-us-contributions-peace-and-security-europe-wwii
·         FACT SHEET: U.S. Assistance to Georgia http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/06/07/fact-sheet-us-assistance-georgia
·         FACT SHEET: U.S. Assistance to Moldova http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/06/07/fact-sheet-us-assistance-moldova
·         FACT SHEET: U.S. Assistance to Ukraine http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/06/07/fact-sheet-us-assistance-ukraine
·         FACT SHEET: U.S. Security Assistance to Ukraine http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/06/04/fact-sheet-us-security-assistance-ukraine
·         FACT SHEET: The United States and Central and Eastern Europe: Enduring Cooperation http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/06/03/fact-sheet-united-states-and-central-and-eastern-europe-enduring-coopera
·         FACT SHEET: The United States and Poland: Strong and United http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/06/03/fact-sheet-united-states-and-poland-strong-and-united
·         The Health Impacts of Climate Change on Americans http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/docs/the_health_impacts_of_climate_change_on_americans_.pdf
·         Presidential Memorandum -- Response to the Influx of Unaccompanied Alien Children Across the Southwest Border http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/06/02/presidential-memorandum-response-influx-unaccompanied-alien-children-acr
·         Remarks by President Obama at the 70th Anniversary of D-Day -- Omaha Beach, Normandy http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/06/06/remarks-president-obama-70th-anniversary-d-day-omaha-beach-normandy

Wilson Center
·         Local Markets for Illegal Drugs: Impacts, Trends, and New Approaches http://www.wilsoncenter.org/publication/local_markets


India

Chinese Analysts Interpret Modi’s New India
June 19,2014

30 June 2014

June 27, 2014

June 27, 2014

June 26, 2014

June 26, 2014

Sanjay Sethi, 
08/07/2014

Ashwani Gupta, 06/07/2014

Prakash Katoch, 04/07/2014

Gurmeet Kanwal, 02/07/2014

Dhruv Katoch, 30/06/2014

Manisha Chachra, 28/06/2014

R S N Singh, 26/06/2014

Ashwani Gupta, 24/06/2014

Shashank Ranjan, 22/06/2014

Dr Monika Chansoria, 20/06/2014

Avantika Lal, 18/06/2014

Narender Kumar, 16/06/2014

Vikram Taneja, 14/06/2014

Shweta Desai, 12/06/2014

Bikramdeep Singh, 10/06/2014

Sanjay Sethi, 08/06/2014

Prakash Katoch, 06/06/2014

R S N Singh, 04/06/2014

Dinakar Peri, 02/06/2014

July 07, 2014

July 07, 2014


July 03, 2014

Gulbin Sultana
July 01, 2014

Amit Cowshish
July 01, 2014

June 30, 2014

Abanti Bhattacharya
June 29, 2014

June 26, 2014

2014

June 26, 2014

June 20, 2014

June 19, 2014

June 18, 2014

June 18, 2014

Sushant Sareen
June 18, 2014

June 06, 2014




















AfPak



by Carlotta Gall 
Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 329 pp., $28.00 

The Taliban in Afghanistan
Author: Zachary Laub, Associate Writer
July 4, 2014 Mohammad Shoib

The government is failing to act to prevent the slaughter of Balochistan Shia. 
By Phelim Kine
July 05, 2014

July 04, 2014


June 25, 2014


July 3, 2014

IssueCourtesy: CLAWS| 02 Jul , 2014

July 1, 2014


By M Ilyas Khan BBC News, Islamabad
30 June 2014 

Tension With Afghanistan Is Complicating Pakistan’s Military Offensive Against the Taliban
Tim Craig and Shaiq Hussain
June 27, 2014

What You Need to Know About Pakistan’s North Waziristan Operation


Ajit Kumar Singh 
Research Fellow, Institute for Conflict Management

JUNE 24, 2014

By Anthony Bell 
Jun 10, 2014 

Daniel S. Markey, Senior Fellow for India
Bernard Gwertzman, Consulting Editor
June 2014

June 24, 2014 

By Abdul Basit,RSIS

JUNE 19, 2014

June 19, 2014

Vikram Sood
17 June 2014

E-Mail- avantika.lal30@gmail.com 



Author Bruce Riedel
June 2014

June 2014 
Rana BanerjiDistinguished Fellow, IPCS
E-mail: rbanerji49@gmail.com 

Taruni Kumar
10 June 2014



China






Why Reform Comes Slowly in China
July 01, 2014
Reform is like sailing upstream: if you’re not making progress, you’re going backwards.

The Maoist Origins of Xi's Security Vision
Xi's speech at a diplomatic summit reveals another piece of China's security vision for Asia and the world.

China and Tunisia: A Quiet Partnership
While Tunisia seeks more aid and development assistance, China could benefit from Tunisia’s strategic location.

China Showcases Gentler Approach to Taiwan
In a first, the head of the mainland's Taiwan Affairs Office (TAO) visited Taiwan to discuss cross-strait issues.

US, China Harbor Concerns About RIMPAC
Plus, Xi's anti-corruption campaign, trouble for foreign NGOs, and Xi's visit to Korea. Friday China links.

Another Hu Jintao Ally Investigated for Graft
China’s anti-graft agency announced that Wan Qingliang, party chief of Guangzhou, is being investigated for graft.

Surprise: US-China Military Ties Are Actually Improving
U.S.-China military relations have a long way to go, but they've improved substantially in the last four years.

Reflecting on China's Five Principles, 60 Years Later
Sixty years later, what are China's "five principles" worth?

Chinese Involvement in Global Jihad
Interactions between Uyghur militant groups and other terrorist networks pose a growing concern for China.

Sunflower Movement Hangs Over Chinese Official's Trip to Taiwan
The head of China's Taiwan Affairs Office visits Taiwan, hoping to increase public support for cross-strait relations.

'House of Cards,' China, and Corruption
The fictional scandals of House of Cards pale in comparison to the real scandals happening in China.

Chinese Documentary Highlights the Internet's Role in Terrorism
In a new CCTV documentary, China highlights the dangers of online terrorist propaganda videos.

Could Iraq Be Another Libya for China?
The crisis in Iraq again reveals the costs of China’s low military profile in the region.

Iran Asks China to Play Larger Role in Nuke Talks
China's new ambassador to Iran previously headed Beijing's delegation to the P5+1 talks.

China's 'Sovereign Internet'
China is increasingly seeking not just domestic but international influence over cyberspace.

Sour Notes from China on the U.S. Rebalance to Asia
Skepticism within China about the US rebalancing is strong.

'Occupy Central' Opens Referendum on Reforming Hong Kong's Democracy
An unofficial referendum on how to set up direct elections in Hong Kong opened to voters, to Beijing's dismay.

Why Doesn’t Russia Support China in the South China Sea?
Strategic and political factors keep Moscow from backing Beijing on the South China Sea disputes.

China’s Corruption Watchdog Cracks Down — On the US
Plus, more oil rigs in the South China Sea and suggestions for US-China relations. Friday China links.

Chinese Media: In Vietnam, Yang Calls 'Prodigal Son' to Return Home
Chinese media portrayed Yang Jiechi's trip to Vietnam as a diplomatic and moral victory for China.

China Plans Limited Evacuations From Iraq as Security Deteriorates
China says most of its citizens in Iraq remain safe, but a mass evacuation remains on the table should violence worsen.

Yang's Visit Underlines China-Vietnam Standoff
State Councilor Yang Jiechi's trip to Hanoi provided little hope that China-Vietnam ties are close to a thaw.

The Shangri-La Dialogue: Troublemaker or Peacemaker?
How Asia’s premier security summit can return to the path of true dialogue.

China Applauds Pakistan’s Anti-Terror Operation
Pakistan's operation Zarb-e-Azb will target anti-China terrorists along with domestic Pakistani terror groups.

Beyond Checkbook Diplomacy: Chinese Premier Li Keqiang Visits the United Kingdom
Chinese Premier Li Keqiang's trip to the UK could usher in a new era in bilateral relations focused on economics.

Amidst Tensions, Chinese State Councilor Heads to Vietnam
Yang Jiechi's visit to Hanoi will be the first high-level China-Vietnam exchange since the oil rig crisis began.

China Is Not the Soviet Union
Chinese analysts should stop asking China to follow in the footsteps of the USSR.

Top Chinese Think-Tank Accused of 'Collusion' With 'Foreign Forces'
Criticisms of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences are part of Xi Jinping's new emphasis on ideological purity.

China Executes 13 on Charges of Terrorism
In the latest step of its "war on terror," Chinese courts executed 13 terrorists and sentenced three more to death.

Is China Changing Its Approach to Maritime Disputes?
China may be shifting its strategy from "reactive assertiveness" to proactive engagement.

Iraq Crisis Tests China's Foreign Policy
Despite major interests in Iraq, China is unwilling to get involved in the current conflict.

Paper No. 5736 Dated 30-Jun-2014
By Col. R.Hariharan

Paper No. 5735 Dated 30-Jun-2014
By Dr Subhash Kapila

Paper No. 5728 Dated 23-Jun-2014
By Dr. Parasaran Rangarajan

Paper no. 5723 Dated 12-Jun-2014
By Bhaskar Roy

Paper No. 5700 Dated 13-May-2014
Dr. Parasaran Rangarajan


South ASIA


Will Climate Change Spark Conflict in Bangladesh?

Modi’s Sweet and Spicy Sri Lanka Strategy

India’s Worrying Border Infrastructure Deficit

India Scrambles on Cyber Security

India: Modi’s Neighborhood Overtures

The Killing of Pakistan’s Journalists

India: Recognizing Pakistan’s Paradigm Shift

Bangladesh: Justice or Revenge?

Can India Reform Its Agriculture?

India: A Wake-Up Call for the Congress

Narendra Modi: India's Shinzo Abe

Modinomics: Myth or Magic?

Pakistan Journalists Under Threat

India’s Trade Policy Options

Indian Foreign Policy Under Narendra Modi

The Developing India-China Maritime Dynamic

India: Urgent Defense Reforms Needed

Hunting the Tokay Gecko

Bhutan’s Human Rights Record Defies ‘Happiness’ Claim

Everest Tragedy Highlights Plight of Sherpas

Bangladesh: Cheap T-Shirts and Fundamentalism

The Siachen Saga
Read StoryThe Siachen Saga

Pakistan and the Sunni Gulf

Justice for Nepal’s War-Era Victims?


4 Reasons Elections Won't Fix Afghanistan

The Abandoned Refugees of North Waziristan

India and Space Defense

Paper No. 5733 Dated 27-Jun-2014
By Dr Subhash Kapila










Barry BuzanGerald Segal

James Fallows

Ivan P. Hall

James L. Richardson

David Martin Jones

Eliot A. Cohen

Eric Jones

Stephen J. Morris




Sonia Hukil 

Subin Nepal 

Harun ur Rashidanalyses

Dr D Suba Chandranmakes

Sohan Prasad Sha

Dibya Shikha

Roomana Hukil

Prof Delwar Hossain 

Amb Sheel Kant Sharmacautions

Rheanna Mathews

Jayadev Ranade

Asanga 

Pramod Jaiswal

Dr Vijay Sakhuja




ASEAN

Paper No. 5739 Dated 04-Jul-2014
By Dr Subhash Kapila










ISIS: A Threat Well Beyond the Middle East

Agent Orange Legacy Scourges Vietnam

Is the Thai Junta Targeting Cambodian Migrants?

The Cambodian People’s Party: A Deficit of Leadership

Cambodia’s Impossible Dream: Koh Tral
Thailand’s Déjà-Coup

Connecting the Dots on Buddhist Fundamentalism

Indochina’s Troubled Year

Indonesia’s African Outreach

USA

Arab

JULY 2, 2014


July 7, 2014

July 3, 2014


July 7, 2014 

July 05, 2014


Posted on June 23, 2014 by wikistrat

By Yatish Yadav
Published: 06th July  2014

By Ravi Joshi

July 05, 2014 



By Michael O'Hanlon and Edward P. Joseph
JULY 4, 2014





Ukarine

Ukraine and the Art of Crisis Management
By: Lawrence Freedman
Publication: Survival: Global Politics and Strategy June–July 2014
https://www.iiss.org/en/publications/survival/sections/2014-4667/survival--global-politics-and-strategy-june-july-2014-3d8b/56-3-02-freedman-6162

By George Friedman, Stratfor
June 24, 2014

JULY 8, 2014, Stratfor

July 5, 2014 · by Fortuna's Corner
War By Any Other Name


May 22, 2014 


July 3, 2014 

Jul 5th 2014 | MOSCOW

By Sarah Lain, Research Fellow RUSI Analysis
29 Jun 2014

BY JOHN E. HERBST
JUNE 26, 2014


June 18, 2014

By Gregory J Moore 
May 2014


June 9, 2014


June , 2014

By DIANA JOHNSTONE
JUNE 2014


Russia

July 5, 2014 · by Fortuna's Corner

War By Any Other Name

JUL 2 2014

Publication: Eurasia Daily Monitor Volume: 11 Issue: 121
July 3, 2014 



June 19, 2014

JUN. 17, 2014

Richard N. Haass, President, Council on Foreign Relations
June 9, 2014


MAY 28, 2014 

By SYDNEY J. FREEDBERG JR. on June 06, 2014

Publication: Volume: 0 Issue: 0
May 22, 2014 

RUSI News, 4 Apr 2014
By Dr Igor Sutyagin, Research Fellow, Russian Studies; 
Professor Michael Clarke, Director General

June 2, 2014 · in Analysis

IDSA COMMENT
May 30, 2014

By JTW
By Selcuk Colakoglu

By FRIDE
By Eleonora Tafuro


MAY 21, 2014

After years of talks, Moscow and Beijing finally inked a $400 billion deal that will change the face of the global natural gas market.
MAY 21, 2014

Vladimir Putin went to Shanghai to sign an energy pact worth billions of dollars. Too bad China wasn't ready to play ball.
MAY 20, 2014
By: Mario Zorro

13 May 2014 

Nayan Chanda 
May 10, 2014
ICTEC
By E. Lincoln Bonner III | July 01, 2014


July 6, 2014



July 3, 2014


ISBN 978-81-8274-786-9
Price: Rs. 795 [Download E-Book]

July 2, 2014
Daily News

July 1, 2014 · by Fortuna's Corner



June 30, 2014

Dinesh Kumar

JUNE 27, 2014


June 26, 2014 ·
Stuxnet-Like ‘Havex’ Malware Strikes European SCADA Systems


Privacy and Security Fanatic (Ms. Smith)
June 25, 2014


Posted on May 13, 2014 by Ben Blutrich
Click here to download the PDF file of this report.

June 24, 2014

A Theory of Cyberwarfare: Political and Military Objectives, Lines of Communication, and Targets
By Jason Rivera 
Jun 10, 2014 

THE HACKING OF ROME
http://cimsec.org/hacking-rome/

Mass Surveillance in Britain
June 22, 2014

Jeff Stein 
June 22, 2014 
New Eavesdropping Equipment Sucks All Data Off Your Phone 

Whitney Mallett 
June 22, 2014 
Terror Organizations’ Search Optimization Problem Is Our Problem Too 

Alissa J. Rubin and Michael R. Gordon
June 23, 2014
Iraq’s Military Seen as Unlikely to Turn the Tide

June 23, 2014

June 23, 2014


JUNE 19, 2014 



 Matters Mil


Jun 29, 2014

June 28, 2014


Spencer Ackerman
The Guardian
June 18, 2014

JUN. 17, 2014, 9:44 AM 


June 10, 2014 

June 2014 

BY MAJOR MATT CAVANAUGH

Submitted by Fred
04/11/2014



By Lt. Gen. Charles T. Cleveland and Lt. Col. Stuart L. Farris

PSYOPS – Wars Are Fought On and Off the Battlefield

15 Jun 2014

June 2014 

June 2014


January 2013

June 2014

June 11, 2014 

By Joe Shute and Mark Oliver
25 Jun 2014

JUNE 2014

Army drawdown continues: 1,100 captains to be cut
June 22, 2014

Interview with Lt. Gen. Charles Cleveland, USA, Commanding General, U.S. Army Special Operations Command (USASOC)
JUNE 2014




By Jeffrey Becker | July 01, 2014


The Middle East 


02 Jul , 2014

A Strategy for Submarines

July 1, 2014 · by Fortuna's Corner

Saturday, 28 June 2014



Read More : http://www.strategicstudyindia.blogspot.in/


Posted by at No comments:

Recommendations and Report of the Stimson Task Force on US Drone Policy Spotlight

TopicsExperts 
June 26, 2014
Recommendations And Report Of The Stimson Task Force On US Drone Policy

Few recent national security developments have been as controversial as the increased US reliance on unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), more colloquially known as “drones.” While UAVs have multiple peaceful and commercial applications, heated debates about the use of lethal UAV strikes away from traditional, territorially bounded battlefields have tended to crowd out a broader and more nuanced discussion of US UAV policy. This report represents a preliminary effort to offer analysis and recommendations that could help shape and guide US UAV policy going forward. It looks at the military and national security benefits of UAV technologies, analyzes our current approaches to UAV development and export, and seeks to contextualize the strategic questions relating to the use of lethal UAVs outside traditional battlefields. Ultimately, it offers eight detailed recommendations for overhauling UAV strategy; improving oversight, accountability and transparency; developing forward-looking international norms relating to the use of lethal force in nontraditional settings; and devising sound UAV export control and research and development policies.

Report available here.
Posted by at No comments:

Addressing Cyber Instability Executive Summary

After two years of intensive study and research, the Cyber Conflict Studies Association is preparing to release their book-length monograph on “Addressing Cyber Instability.” Last month, the CCSA released an executive summary previewing the work, which is available for download.

The impetus for “Addressing Cyber Instability” is that, though cyberspace has become indispensable and irreplaceable for people, companies, and nations, it remains insecure due to technical and policy challenges. On the technical side, the Internet was not designed with security in mind, and as for policy, the new technology evolves faster than the legal, doctrinal, organizational, and conceptual framework around it. As a result, the CCSA concludes that cyberspace in its current form is inherently insecure and needs to be handled accordingly.

The monograph begins by defining its key terms. Though there are many technical definitions of cyberspace, the most accessible is that “cyberspace is all interconnected information technologies.” The CCSA deals primarily with cyber conflict, which it defines as “the conduct of large scale, politically motivated conflict based on the use of offensive and defensive capabilities to disrupt digital systems, networks, and infrastructure, including the use of cyber-based weapons or tools by non-state/transnational actors in conjunction with other forces for political ends.” This is broader than “cyber war” as it includes the likes of nonstate actors, covert action, and espionage, but excludes cyber crime committed strictly for commercial gain with the exception of economic warfare. The executive summary also lays out the focus of the monograph, which will be strategic rather than tactical or technical, and the five research vectors that the CCSA has been pursuing.

The first vector is strategic level issues. Despite predictions to the contrary, there has not yet been any massive cyber attack, suggesting some level of deterrence may be at play in cyberspace. Yet, according to the CCSA, the offense-defense balance in cyberspace makes deterrence by denial difficult as offense has the clear upper hand. Deterrence by punishment is more feasible but suffers from difficulty in attribution and credibility. It is often difficult to pinpoint an attacker to punish and to establish a credible threat of effective punishment. As a result, the CCSA concludes that deterrence is weak in cyberspace, causing instability.

The second research vector is military and operational. The monograph will explore how military and intelligence doctrine, strategy, and organization has evolved in the United States to deal with cybersecurity challenges. The monograph will also suggest the future direction of this evolution, noting that practitioners and bureaucracies must be agile to adapt to fast-paced threats and that military cyber defense must grow more collaborative and needs sufficient knowledge capture to build on existing lessons and experience.

The third vector will examine nonstate actors in cyberspace. The monograph will explore the role of nonstate actors in cyber conflict and the greater role nonstate actors such as Computer Emergency Readiness Teams and researchers must play in managing future conflicts. The CCSA concludes that there is a pressing need to develop mechanisms which foster defensive collaboration between a wide range of nonstate actors.

The fourth research vector that the monograph addresses is domestic and international law. The CCSA will first explain the current domestic and international frameworks for cyber operations and the growing consensus on legal issues. Implementing these frameworks is hindered, however, by an immaturity in applying legal constructs to malicious activity in cyberspace and more time is needed for norms and customs for behavior to develop.

The last research vector will deal with approaches for mitigating cyber conflict. The CCSA suggests three models for dealing with cyber instability. The first is based on public health and emphasizes useful norms such as hygiene, with practices such as patching vulnerabilities the equivalent of hand washing. The next model is environmental, focusing on cleaning up the cyber environment through legal regimes like those in place to battle pollution. Lastly, irregular warfare can serve as a model for cyber conflict, thought the CCSA is careful to note that this does not mean we are engaged in irregular warfare in cyberspace, merely that we face assymetric forces and irregular tactics.

The executive summary concludes with an overview of the CCSA’s future research agenda and a call to action. Current studies raise many more questions that the Cyber Conflict Studies Association hopes to explore such as balancing intelligence gain and intelligence loss in cyberspace and how norms surrounding cyber conflict can be developed. Having found cyberspace to be inherently unstable, the CCSA urges focusing on resilience in the face of threats and cleaning up the cyber environment to reduce them.
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