9 July 2026

Despite Chinese Mediation Efforts, Taliban-Pakistan Conflict Continues With New Strikes

The Diplomat  |  Muhammad Murad

Pakistan conducted strikes inside Afghanistan targeting Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan bases in Paktia, Paktika, and Kunar provinces, killing at least 28 civilians and injuring 49 others according to U.N. Assistance Mission in Afghanistan reports. In response, the Taliban launched retaliatory strikes inside Pakistan, injuring several people in Balochistan Province before Pakistani forces shot down four rudimentary drones.

Jamaat-ul-Ahrar Breaks from TTP: Pakistan’s Militant Landscape Faces New Fragmentation

CNAWS | Sushant Pawar

Jamaat-ul-Ahrar officially announced its re-establishment as an independent militant organization on 4 July 2026, formally ending its reunification with Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan and restoring its pre-August 2020 autonomous status. This organizational split follows months of escalating internal tensions, culminating in a declaration that the group will pursue its insurgency against the Pakistani state independently under Umar Khorasani.

China’s truck drone launcher hides airpower in civilian traffic

Asia Times  |  Gabriel Honrada

China's newly developed truck-mounted electromagnetic drone launcher, designed by the Beijing Institute of Technology, aims to disperse tactical airpower and mitigate the vulnerability of its Taiwan-facing airbases. By utilizing interconnected flat-top trucks that blend into civilian highway traffic, this containerized weapon system complicates adversary targeting and provides low-cost, rapid-launch strike capabilities.

Compasses, not maps: China is building a different type of AI

Asia Times | an Krikke

China is actively shifting its artificial intelligence development away from Western-style generative chatbots toward infrastructure-focused systems designed to coordinate continuous real-world change. This strategic divergence prioritizes technologies like digital twins, predictive logistics, and smart manufacturing to manage complex, evolving urban and industrial environments, directly enhancing state governance and operational efficiency.

Weaponizing Interdependence

Council on Foreign Relations  |  Brad W. Setser

China’s retaliatory export controls on critical minerals and the United States’ aggressive tariff policies have fundamentally transformed global economic competition into a struggle of weaponized interdependence. During his second term, President Donald Trump weaponized access to the U.S. consumer market, forcing international partners to accept unequal trade terms while Beijing pushed back forcefully.

The clear winner of Trump’s war in the Middle East is… China, says new report

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists | Amy Hawkins

China has emerged as the primary beneficiary of the Strait of Hormuz crisis after joint US and Israeli military strikes on February 28 prompted Iran to close the vital waterway. This disruption sent global energy prices soaring, heavily exposing major Asian economies that rely on Middle Eastern oil and gas imports.

Mourners Chant ‘Revenge’ at Funeral Prayers for Iran’s Slain Supreme Leader

The New York Times  |  Abdi Latif Dahir

Tens of thousands of Iranian mourners and senior officials gathered in Tehran on July 5, 2026, for the funeral of slain Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei amid chants for revenge. Conspicuously absent from the public ceremonies was his son and successor, Mojtaba Khamenei, who has not made a single public appearance since taking power.

Rolling Back Iran: Why Iraq Is the Decisive Front

Geopolitical Futures  |  Kamran Bokhari

A U.S. military strike on Iran in late February aimed to prevent Tehran from acquiring nuclear weapons while rolling back its regional influence. This tactical intervention exploits a historic opportunity to reshape the Middle East following the collapse of Bashar Assad’s regime in Syria in late 2024. Washington's strategic maneuver seeks to reverse the long-term geopolitical consequences of the 2003 invasion of Iraq, which inadvertently expanded Iranian power.

Retired general: US has ‘got to stop’ Iran from maintaining control of Strait of Hormuz

The Hill  |  Ryan Mancini

Retired U.S. Army General Jack Keane warned on July 5, 2026, that the United States must prevent Iran from maintaining control over the Strait of Hormuz to avoid a return to major combat operations. He stated that further Iranian attacks on shipping vessels failing to follow its military's rules will trigger limited retaliatory strikes or full-scale warfare.

Retired general: US has ‘got to stop’ Iran from maintaining control of Strait of Hormuz

The Hill  |  Ryan Mancini

Retired Gen. Jack Keane warned that the United States must prevent Iran from maintaining control over shipping lanes in the Strait of Hormuz to avoid major combat operations. This warning follows threats from Iran's joint military command to launch forceful responses against oil tankers that bypass approved routes, directly challenging U.S.

The Strong Do What They Can—and Suffer What They Must

Foreign Affairs  |  Jonathan Kirshner

U.S. President Donald Trump has aggressively asserted American power since returning to office in 2025, executing military strikes against Caribbean drug smugglers, kidnapping Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, and bombing Iran. These unilateral actions are framed by the White House as a vindication of raw, iron laws governing global power, signaling a stark departure from traditional rules-based diplomacy.

Fighting Without Friends

Council on Foreign Relations  |  Erin Dumbacher

The United States faces severe operational friction and diminished global influence as strained relationships with traditional allies restrict military access and intelligence sharing. Recent decisions by Spain and the United Kingdom to deny airspace and base access at Diego Garcia for strikes on Iran highlight this growing geopolitical isolation.

A Better Way to Build AI

Foreign Affairs  |  Sarah Kreps

The United States government faces a critical local legitimacy crisis as it rapidly expands the physical infrastructure required to maintain global dominance in artificial intelligence. Local communities are increasingly resisting the construction of energy-intensive data centers, transmission lines, and computing facilities, directly threatening national economic competitiveness and strategic technological power.

Unmanned Arms Race: The Integration Of Drone Warfare In The South Caucasus

Eurasia Review  |  Turan Darishov

Azerbaijan, Armenia, and Georgia are rapidly accelerating their integration of unmanned aerial and ground systems to adapt to the shifting paradigm of modern regional conflict. Following the decisive role of Turkish and Israeli drones in the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh War. 

Brexit: Ten Years On And The Consequences Of A Difficult Divorce

Eurasia Review  |  Richard Rousseau

The United Kingdom and the European Union face a critical geopolitical imperative to establish pragmatic, sectoral agreements in defense, security, and finance to counter shared strategic vulnerabilities. This cooperative shift is accelerated by the ongoing war in Ukraine, declining European competitiveness against China, and potential strategic disengagement by the United States.

The Transatlantic Alliance Can’t Survive Without Trust

Foreign Affairs  |  Wolfgang Ischinger

U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth recently announced a comprehensive six-month review of the American military presence in Europe, signaling a major shift in Washington's commitment to the transatlantic alliance. This decision follows over a decade of persistent criticism from U.S. President Donald Trump regarding European allies' defense spending and their reliance on American security guarantees.

The Ankara NATO Summit: Europe's Moment of Strategic Responsibility

Real Clear Defense | Andrew A. Michta

The 2026 NATO Summit in Ankara demands that European member states immediately assume greater strategic responsibility for continent-wide defense and deterrence capabilities. This pivotal gathering forces European allies to address long-standing burden-sharing deficits and establish a more self-reliant security architecture capable of countering regional threats independently, marking a fundamental shift in transatlantic defense dynamics.

NATO’s three-front problem

International Institute for Strategic Studies  |  Ruben Stewart

NATO’s regional defence plans divide Europe into three operational fronts, but the emerging architecture exposes critical vulnerabilities in command seams, rear-area sustainment, and the availability of enabling forces. These functional problems threaten the Alliance's ability to convert newly established headquarters into effective warfighting formations during a crisis. Approved at the 2023 Vilnius summit, this geographic division establishes Joint Operations Areas across the Northwest, Centre, and Southeast to counter Russian threats.

Mission to Moscow for the elite unit bringing war to Putin’s door

The Times  |  Maxim Tucker

Ukrainian military forces from an elite, highly elusive unit have launched another long-range mission into Russian territory, directly targeting Moscow to bring the war to Vladimir Putin's door. This unprecedented operation represents a key effort by Ukraine to project combat power deep inside the adversary's borders. The Times accompanied the clandestine operators during this long-range deployment, marking the first time journalists have gained direct access to the elusive unit's operations.

Why disruption in Hormuz has put the Strait of Malacca in the spotlight

MSN | Philip J. Heijmans, Chandra Asmara, Weilun Soon

Disruption in the Strait of Hormuz has forced global maritime shipping networks to reassess the vulnerability of the Strait of Malacca as an alternative trade corridor. This critical strategic shift highlights the fragile nature of global energy supply chains and maritime security across these highly contested Indo-Pacific chokepoints, raising significant concerns for international trade.

Global Security At A Crossroads: Persistent Conflicts, Technological Transformation And The Emerging Geopolitical Order

Eurasia Review  |  J. Scott Younger

Iran has unblocked the Straits of Hormuz to resume vital oil trade, yet the broader global security landscape remains highly volatile as asymmetric warfare technologies redefine modern conflict. Advanced drone systems and precision missiles, heavily utilized in Ukraine, are fundamentally altering traditional military doctrines and enabling smaller actors to challenge established powers.

America’s AI war machine has no human stop rule

Asia Times  |  Brian Hudson

The US Pentagon is deploying artificial intelligence into military operations without sufficient human oversight, as demonstrated by the integration of Palantir’s Maven Smart System. This software, which analyzes multi-source sensor data to identify targets, supported thousands of American strikes in Iran despite ongoing investigations into a devastating strike on a girls' school in Minab.

Why Analytic Superiority Matters Most in the AI Race

National Interest | Emily O. Goldman, and Robert L. Grossman

The United States is currently engaged in a critical geopolitical race for analytic superiority against adversaries rapidly deploying artificial intelligence models at scale. This competition requires prioritizing the systematic analysis, deployment, and integration of data-driven models into military systems over merely chasing the most powerful frontier models.

Function Before Structure: Why Do Brigades Exist?

Modern War Institute | Michael Carvelli

The US Army is failing to define the distinct operational purposes of its armored, Stryker, and mobile brigade combat teams, risking severe combat readiness consequences in future large-scale combat operations. This doctrinal ambiguity forces training, procurement, and force design to rely on arbitrary design assumptions rather than functional battlefield necessity.

Mission: Indecipherable

Real Clear Defense  |  Douglas A. Samuelson

Joint U.S.-Israeli military operations against Iran currently face severe strategic hurdles due to undefined objectives and a lack of clear mission parameters. These joint campaigns risk repeating historical counterinsurgency failures by attempting to obliterate Iranian military capabilities without establishing any viable path toward regional stability or peaceful grievance resolution.

8 July 2026

Myanmar’s New Administration: Military Consolidation, Not Transition

International Crisis Group

Myanmar military leader Min Aung Hlaing assumed the presidency on April 11, 2026, following stage-managed elections designed to consolidate junta rule under a nominally civilian façade. This scripted transition secured a decisive parliamentary majority for the military-backed Union Solidarity and Development Party, effectively excluding major opposition forces and disenfranchising large portions of the conflict-torn population.

Chinese Perceptions of Stealth: Shaping Defense Against U.S. Capabilities and Indigenous Developments

China Aerospace Studies Institute

Chinese military planners have spent four decades analyzing United States stealth platforms, including the F-117, B-2, F-22, and F-35, to systematically counter American aerial dominance and develop indigenous low-observable capabilities. This sustained observation of Western combat applications directly shapes Beijing's current air defense doctrines, radar technologies, and aerospace manufacturing priorities.

China and Rare Earth Supply Chains

RUSI  |  Henry Sanderson

China's rare earth export controls are actively reshaping global defense and security industries by restricting access to critical elements while sustaining its domestic manufacturing advantages. This strategic dominance directly threatens the defense industrial bases of the United Kingdom and its allies, exposing severe structural vulnerabilities in Western military supply chains.

China’s mobile electromagnetic catapult could transform drone warfare. All about the system

ThePrint  |  Kyra Menon, Bhuvan Gaur

A Chinese truck-mounted electromagnetic aircraft launch system catapult was demonstrated in a newly released social media video launching a fixed-wing drone, signaling a major advancement in runway-independent unmanned warfare. This modular configuration of linked all-wheel-steering trucks allows military forces to rapidly deploy and launch surveillance drones from remote, highly contested terrains.

China turns Russia’s drone war into a warning for U.S.

The Washington Times  |  David Harris

China is leveraging its massive industrial capacity to supply critical components to Russia, enabling Moscow to scale up the production of fiber-optic drones and overwhelm Ukrainian defenses. This rapid industrial mobilization demonstrates that manufacturing endurance can ultimately surpass battlefield innovation, systematically shifting the material balance of the Eastern European conflict.

PLA Aerospace Power: A Primer on Trends in China’s Military Air, Space, and Missile Forces

China Aerospace Studies Institute

China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has undergone extensive organizational restructuring and strategic modernization, as detailed in the China Aerospace Studies Institute’s fifth edition of the PLA Primer. This updated reference guide analyzes the Central Military Commission’s absolute authority, the operational mandates of the five joint theater commands, and the capabilities of individual service branches.

How Innovative Is China’s Space Industry?

Information Technology and Innovation Foundation | Ellis Scherer

China is rapidly expanding its space capabilities through state-directed investments and military-civil fusion to challenge United States dominance in the global space economy by 2030. This aggressive expansion leverages a vertically integrated manufacturing base of over 500 private companies to scale up satellite and rocket production, threatening America's long-standing technological leadership.

PRC’s devious ‘cognitive warfare’: Promote China rule while undermining Taiwan

The Washington Times  |  Piero A. Tozzi

The People’s Republic of China is actively waging cognitive warfare against Taiwan to achieve whole-of-society mind superiority and force annexation without triggering a high-risk maritime invasion. This psychological offensive systematically targets the island's population to erode domestic morale, exploit social divisions, and kindle deep skepticism regarding United States security commitments.

Lebanon: Fantasy And Reality

Eurasia Review  |  Neville Teller

A historic three-way agreement signed on June 26, 2026, by the United States, Israel, and Lebanon establishes a conditional ceasefire aimed at degrading Hezbollah and restoring Lebanese state sovereignty. Under this landmark accord, Israeli forces will withdraw from two southern sectors, allowing the Lebanese Armed Forces to establish exclusive security control.

The Architecture of Mourning: Inside the Six Days Iran Buries Ali Khamenei

Frame The Globe News 

Iran is burying its second supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, during a highly structured six-day mourning procession designed to navigate the deep national grief of a country attempting to bury its leader twice. This elaborate state funeral follows a devastating pre-dawn strike in February that disrupted the initial proceedings and left almost nothing of the original ceremony.