Pakistan's military, particularly the Army Chief, has consistently prioritized its institutional interests and vast commercial empire, like the $5.9 billion Fauji Foundation, over the nation's well-being for 68 years. This logic, from Ayub Khan to Asim Munir, involves leveraging state resources, tax exemptions, and foreign aid to expand influence without parliamentary oversight.
Indian Strategic Studies
23 June 2026
Pakistan's U.S.–Iran Diplomacy Sought to Prevent a Militant Spillover
Pakistan's diplomacy during the U.S.–Iran conflict aimed to prevent a militant spillover, driven by a desire to avoid a security vacuum along its roughly 900-kilometer (about 559-mile) border with Iran. Islamabad fears a weakened Iranian state would create operational space for Baloch separatists like the Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) and Baloch Liberation Front (BLF), sectarian militants such as Jaish al-Adl, smugglers, and transnational jihadist actors in its southwest.
Pakistan’s Ponzi State
Pakistan's fiscal structure has operated for three decades as a Ponzi scheme, characterized by borrowing to cover deficits and pay interest on existing debt, with total public debt reaching Rs 81.93 trillion and per capita debt at Rs 333,041. The government claims recent fiscal improvements, including a primary surplus and reduced interest payments (from 61 to 49 paisas per revenue rupee), which the IMF has confirmed.
Explained: Why India, Pak Never Target Each Other's Nuclear Installations
India and Pakistan, hostile nuclear-armed neighbors with a long history of conflict, have maintained a crucial area of restraint by never targeting each other's nuclear installations, even during periods of sharp tension and active hostilities like Operation Sindoor in 2025. This restraint is particularly striking given a growing global concern, highlighted by IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi, that civilian nuclear facilities worldwide face unprecedented risks in modern conflicts.
PLA scientists propose a plan to destroy US carrier groups from 3,000km away
PLA scientists have proposed a plan to destroy US carrier groups from 3,000km away, directly responding to the United States' strategic repositioning of its most precious military assets. The US military has quietly pulled these assets, including aircraft carriers, away from Asian coasts, relocating them to distant territories such as Guam in Micronesia.
Chinese Grid Operators Maintain Offensive Cyber Programs
The People's Republic of China's (PRC) state-owned grid operators, State Grid Corporation of China (SGCC) and China Southern Power Grid (CSG), maintain standing "red and blue team special forces" for offensive cyber programs. These teams are part of a broader PRC ecosystem that develops national cybersecurity standards, runs grid attack simulation facilities, and publishes research on tools to attack Western power grid industrial control systems.
Beyond the Malacca Dilemma: China’s Emerging Corridor-Hedging Logic
China's external economic strategy is undergoing a longer-term shift towards a "corridor-hedging logic," recognizing that different trade routes offer varying utility under diverse geopolitical conditions. This adjustment, accelerated by events like the Iran war and potential disruption of the Strait of Hormuz, moves beyond viewing connectivity as a single integrated system.
China's Techno-Industrial Strategy in the Xi Era
China's techno-industrial policy under Xi Jinping has evolved into a centralized, security-linked, and finance-driven system, prioritizing national security, technological self-reliance, and frontier leadership over growth. This system operates via five channels and 18 instruments, enabling the Party-state to define priorities, mobilize resources, discipline firms, and project arrangements abroad.
U.S.-Sanctioned United Front Figure Leads World Data Organization
The World Data Organization (WDO), a new international institution, launched in Beijing on March 30, 2026, with Chinese Communist Party (CCP) General Secretary Xi Jinping sending a congratulatory letter. The WDO aims to advance the CCP’s global governance agenda, despite limited public information on its claimed global membership.
Regional States Consolidate the Resilience of the Middle Corridor (Part 2)
Regional states are significantly institutionalizing and digitalizing the Middle Corridor, the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route (TITR), through regulatory harmonization and integrated logistics. This involves new agreements on electronic freight documentation, data-sharing, and e-permits, alongside accelerated infrastructure expansion across rail, port, and maritime sectors. Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Georgia signed a protocol to digitalize freight, while Kazakhstan Temir Zholy partnered with Huawei to modernize its rail system.
Red Lines
Chinese advanced artificial intelligence (AI) systems pose a serious and growing threat to U.S. national security, with at least seven Chinese developers producing formidable AI capabilities. These systems, released with open weights and aggressive pricing, are treated by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) as instruments of political control, economic dominance, and great-power competition.
Surrender at Versailles: America Humbled, Israel Defeated & Iran Rises as a Regional Power
On June 17, 2026, the United States and Iran signed a 14-point Memorandum of Understanding at the Palace of Versailles, marking a formal concession of the American unipolar world order to Iran's geoeconomic leverage. This agreement, formalized by U.S. President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, fundamentally rewrites the Middle Eastern security architecture, establishing Iran as a recognized regional hegemon.
Against Background Of U.S.-Iran Agreement, Articles In Gulf Press Question Iran's Sincerity, Warn...
The Gulf states officially welcomed the U.S.-Iran agreement to end the war, yet articles in the Gulf press, particularly Saudi, express deep suspicion regarding Iran's true intentions and willingness to abandon its nuclear program and regional ambitions. Editorials hoped for peace but voiced skepticism, citing past experiences and the difficulty of trusting Iran.
NATO's Future Runs Through Warsaw
NATO's strategic center of gravity has shifted from West Germany to the Nordic-Baltic-Polish corridor, a critical military frontier where countries like Poland, Finland, and the Baltic states have significantly invested in defense. Russia's invasion of Ukraine exposed this shift, highlighting the contrast with Western European nations that reduced military readiness post-Cold War.
How Macron won Trump round at the G7. Until the next bust-up.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's presentation of photographs depicting Kyiv's burning Dormition cathedral significantly influenced U.S. President Donald Trump at the G7 summit in Evian-les-Bains, France. This intervention, showing damage from a Russian airstrike on the 11th-century architectural treasure, was the final push in French President Emmanuel Macron's carefully choreographed effort to secure Trump's commitment to increased military support for Ukraine in a joint declaration.
The Kremlin faces some very difficult choices later this year
Ukrainian forces initially doubted the imminence of Russia's full-scale invasion, with senior levels, including President Zelenskyy, only fully convinced 48-72 hours before the February 2022 offensive. This skepticism persisted despite some intelligence warnings, partly due to the perceived foolishness of such a large-scale Russian action and the belief that alternative, more limited approaches were likely.
Russia Deploys New Volna Kupol Garant EW Systems to Jam Starlink, Ukraine Already Destroying Them
Russia has deployed new Volna-Kupol-Garant electronic warfare (EW) systems to counter the Starlink satellite communication system in Ukraine, as reported by Serhiy Beskrestnov, an adviser to the Minister of Defense. These trailer-mounted systems, costing RUB 150 million each, track satellites and emit powerful signals in the 14-14.5 GHz range, capable of destabilizing Starlink communications over an area of up to 20 square kilometers with a blocking range of 16 kilometers.
Ukraine Bombards Moscow With One of the Biggest Drone Attacks of the War
Ukraine launched one of the largest drone attacks on Moscow since President Vladimir V. Putin initiated the war over four years ago, leading to the urgent closure of the capital's four airports and a section of its busy highway. This large-scale assault, which caused black smoke from a burning oil refinery to fill the Moscow sky, escalated Ukraine's effort to bring the conflict home to Russians.
How Israel made Trump's Iran betrayal inevitable - comment
Israel's long-standing "mowing the grass" doctrine, which manages threats like Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran through repeated military actions rather than comprehensive diplomatic strategy, has proven unsustainable and costly. This policy, evident in the cycle of Gaza conflicts and strikes against Iran's nuclear program, prioritizes military solutions while neglecting the diplomatic instrument.
South Africa's anti-migrant protests: Fear as deadline looms for foreigners to leave
South Africa faces escalating anti-migrant protests as a June 30 deadline looms for undocumented foreigners to leave, leading to fear and violence. Esnat Joseph, a 36-year-old Malawian, fled her Durban home after men with machetes attacked her husband, joining 7,000 others, mainly Malawians, seeking refuge. Aid groups provide support as Ghana, Mozambique, Nigeria, and Zimbabwe organize repatriations for approximately 3,500 volunteers.
Can an AI actually teach you to be a better human?
Artificial intelligence is increasingly being developed to hone complex "soft skills" like empathy, leadership, and communication, which often lack formal education on human brain function. Dr. Art Markman, a cognitive scientist, highlights that people understand *what* to do but not *how* internal states shape behavior. Emma Weber, CEO of Lever, notes a "knowing-doing gap" due to internal factors.
The University As We Know It Is Finished
Clark Kerr's 1963 "multiversity" model, which described the American research university as a sprawling institutional conglomerate serving diverse functions from research to credentialing, is now finished. The author argues this model's crisis has been building for sixty years due to privatization, tuition hyperinflation, and a shift towards vocationalism.
Iran Won the War but May Lose the Peace
The United States and Israel launched a war on Iran in late February, targeting a regime that was then in an unprecedented position of weakness. Tehran faced severe existential economic and environmental crises, diminished defensive capabilities, and significant internal turmoil. This internal unrest stemmed from external scrutiny and a brutal January crackdown on protests, which tragically resulted in the deaths of thousands of its own people.
Weaponizing Uncertainty: How Rumors Shape the Information Battlespace
In 2018, a rumor warning of child kidnappers spread rapidly through India via WhatsApp, leading to mob attacks and dozens of deaths before officials contained the panic. This incident highlights how rumors function as flexible weapons in the information environment, shaping perception and behavior under ambiguity. Rumors are unverified claims, distinct from misinformation or disinformation, emerging under uncertainty and perceived threat.
Military AI Is Killing the Big Army Mindset, and GenAI.mil Is Just the Beginning
The United States military's industrial-age hierarchical structure, where information flows up and directives flow down, is being fundamentally disrupted by the December 2025 deployment of GenAI.mil. This platform, integrating Google Gemini for Government across secure defense architecture, has scaled to 3 million users, with the Pentagon creating over 100,000 AI agents.
The Long Shadow of the Iran War: Trump’s Most Consequential Foreign Policy Mistake
President Donald Trump's announcement on June 14, 2026, ending the war in Iran and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, brought significant relief to countries worldwide. This negotiated settlement, while deemed in the United States' interest, demonstrably fell far short of Washington's ambitious strategic objectives for the conflict. After nearly four months of intense fighting, critical concerns regarding Iran’s nuclear program, its advanced ballistic missile arsenal, and its pervasive support for proxies across the Middle East remain largely unresolved.
Assessing the State of Iran’s Naval Infrastructure and Tactics
The launch of Operation Epic Fury on February 28, a joint U.S.–Israeli strike, severely damaged Iran’s naval capabilities, particularly its conventional Islamic Republic of Iran Navy (IRIN). These attacks devastated numerous frigates, corvettes, and submarines at port and at sea, including the Moudge-class frigates IRIS _Jamaran_, _Sahand_, and _Dena_, with the _Dena_ sunk by a USS _Charlotte_ torpedo south of Sri Lanka.
The Middle East Power Paradox: How the Iran War Will Transform America’s Military Role
The U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, dubbed "Epic Fury," showcased Washington's conventional military superiority, with over 10,000 air sorties, 130,000 targets hit, and 1,700 Iranian missiles and drones intercepted. The campaign demolished 85 percent of Iran's missile/drone production facilities and 70 percent of its launch infrastructure. However, the conflict failed to achieve President Trump's strategic goals of regime surrender or a better nuclear deal, as Tehran adapted an attrition strategy that strained the U.S.
AI is changing biological and nuclear risks; governance must change accordingly
In April, over 100 experts convened at California’s Asilomar Conference Grounds to address how artificial intelligence (AI) may affect nuclear and biological weapons, launching a new Asilomar Process. This initiative responds to rapidly advancing AI models, which pose risks like assisting novices in developing chemical or biological weapons and compressing nuclear decision-making times, increasing launch pressure from false information.
Risk of nuclear catastrophe is worse than ever. We can change that
The risk of global catastrophe, particularly nuclear war, is escalating, with the Doomsday Clock set at 85 seconds to midnight in January 2026, the closest ever to zero hour. John Mecklin, editor-in-chief of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, highlights that nine countries now possess approximately 12,187 nuclear warheads and are expanding their arsenals.
22 June 2026
The Iran War Damaged U.S.-India Ties
Indian External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar phoned U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio on June 12 to register a "strong protest" regarding the killing of three Indian seafarers. These individuals died during U.S. strikes in the Gulf of Oman on June 9, while they were aboard the Palau-flagged tanker _Settebello_.
Taliban, Russia are cozying up to each other — why?
Mullah Muhammad Yaqoob, the Taliban's acting defense minister, signed a military-technical cooperation agreement with Russia on May 27 near Moscow, aiming to repair and maintain Russian-made weapons systems in Afghanistan. This deal, described as pragmatic and interest-based, seeks to boost the Taliban's military capabilities and deter Pakistan amidst heightened cross-border tensions.
Five Years After the U.S. Withdrawal: Rethinking Engagement in Afghanistan in an Era of Great Power Competition
Five years after the 2021 U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, the country faces a worsening humanitarian crisis, restrictive policies, and conflict with Pakistan. The current U.S. policy of isolation has failed to temper Taliban governance or advance U.S. objectives, allowing China, Russia, and Iran to expand regional influence through strategic investments.
Why Trump’s Pentagon Abandoned ‘Indo-Pacific’
The U.S. Defense Department recently announced that Indo-Pacific Command (INDOPACOM) will revert to its original name, Pacific Command (PACOM), signaling a broader strategic shift. This Hawaii-based headquarters, responsible for U.S. armed forces across the Pacific and eastern Indian oceans, cited honoring historical roots for the change. However, this move also aligns with U.S.
Three reasons ships are not sailing through the Strait of Hormuz yet
President Donald Trump announced a US deal with Iran on Sunday, declaring the "opening" of the Strait of Hormuz and urging ships to resume oil flow. However, BBC Verify analysis of MarineTraffic data shows only seven vessels have passed through the waterway since the announcement, with approximately 580 ships waiting in the Gulf.