Robert A. Manning
For more than a decade, security and economic dynamics in the Asia-Pacific have been pulling in opposite directions. Geopolitical tensions and competing nationalisms have reinforced the U.S. role as a security guarantor, while China’s economic rise has integrated regional economies more closely with one another and China and pulled them away from the United States, as Evan Feigenbaum and I argued in these pages 13 years ago.
Yet U.S. policy toward the region has been mostly one of continuity. Is this sustainable—or is the combination of U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs, disparaging of allies, retreat from the values and institutions of the post-World War II order, and decoupling from China forcing the region to make the dreaded either-or choice?
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