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17 April 2025

A Drawdown of U.S. Forces in Europe Is All but Certain - Analysis

John R. Deni

The Trump administration has only just begun to fill its ranks with the political appointees who will flesh out the future of U.S. defense policy. One item sure to be on their agenda is a review of U.S. military deployments around the world, known in Pentagon-speak as a posture review. As part of this process, officials are likely to scrutinize the status of U.S. military forces in Europe.

U.S. President Donald Trump’s first-term policies—and early rhetoric during his second term—indicate that the U.S. military presence in Europe is likely to change fundamentally as a result of the posture review. Over the last 80 years, the United States has played a leading role in conventional defense and deterrence in Europe. But the Trump administration has made clear that Europeans should take on primary responsibility for defending the continent.


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