Xia Ri
In late 2022, ChatGPT made its appearance, signaling the start of a global acceleration in AI development. By the end of 2024, the number of large-scale AI models worldwide had surpassed 1,300, with China and the United States collectively holding 80% of the market share.
The U.S., capitalizing on its technological strength and innovative capacity, remains at the forefront of large AI model development. In contrast, China has swiftly emerged as a formidable competitor, driven by its vast market and proactive government support, with more than 300 domestically developed large AI models—second only to the U.S. What, then, is the future trajectory of AI development in China? Drawing on extensive long-term research, a senior analyst at ANBOUND offered a multi-dimensional analysis of the emerging trends in China’s AI landscape.
1. A series of “small AI” models similar to DeepSeek will continue to emerge. According to ANBOUND’s definitions, “large AI” refers to general-purpose large models, while “small AI” refers to smaller models designed for specific application scenarios. Currently, the development of “large AI” in China faces significant challenges, including enormous costs related to computing power, energy, and finances, as well as security concerns such as data leaks. In contrast, China holds local advantages in developing “small AI” models: certain industries and sectors have a strong market foundation and application scenarios, there are considerable strengths in engineering implementation capabilities, and the policy environment is highly supportive in this. Given the difficulties facing “large AI” development and the advantages of “small AI”, a wave of “small AI” models, like DeepSeek, will continue to emerge, becoming new competitors.
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