Paul Tolmachev
Democracies and authoritarian regimes have entered the stage of a new paradigm of coexistence, changing the world order before our eyes.
The authoritarian regimes, having fallen into the middle income trap and having reached the ceiling of their economic capabilities (as a production industrial base for developed economies) faced a natural and obvious fork in the road of changing the social contract and choosing the subsequent trajectory of existence.
Either – political democratization and institutional liberalization with further development and transition to a post-industrial economic modus.
Either – economic conservatism, political tightening, institutional regression, increased ideological propaganda and social manipulation by incumbent power groups to preserve and prolong their life cycle.
Democratic countries, in turn, have experienced an exceptional leftward bias, expressed in the growth of paternalism and the expansion of the state as an active actor rather than an arbitrator. It should be remembered that any state expansion is an increase in the influence and powers of political entrepreneurs and managers, i.e. top politicians and bureaucratic bureaucracy.
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