Jacob Stokes, Colin H. Kahl, Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Nicholas Lokker
Introduction
The nuclear order among major powers has fundamentally changed over the last few years. In particular, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) is building up its nuclear arsenal to make it numerically larger and technologically more sophisticated. As a result, the bipolar nuclear order—led by the United States and Russia—has given way to a more volatile tripolar one.1
The same period has also seen the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies, including for military applications.2 AI breakthroughs have led many commentators to compare and contrast the technology’s current state with the advent of nuclear weapons and the field of nuclear arms control.3 Beyond those comparisons, though, the two areas overlap at what this report calls the AI-nuclear nexus. Understanding the nexus requires an assessment of each of the three countries and their militaries, their respective nuclear weapons and associated infrastructure, and potential military applications of artificial intelligence, as well as their effects on the global security environment.
Understanding the nexus requires an assessment of each of the three countries and their militaries, their respective nuclear weapons and associated infrastructure, and potential military applications of artificial intelligence, as well as their effects on the global security environment.
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