23 January 2025

Ukraine's Strategic Interdiction Campaign Begins to Take Shape

Fabian Hoffmann

This week witnessed some of the most intense Ukrainian drone and missile operations to date. Ukraine conducted several larger-scale attacks against critical infrastructure and military targets deep inside Russian territory, as far as 1,100 km behind the frontlines.

The largest attack occurred during the night of 13 to 14 January, with well over 100 drones and missiles targeting Russian industrial sites, oil depots, refineries, and ammunition storage facilities across several regions, including Voronezh, Saratov, Tatarstan, and Orel. Additional smaller-scale attacks were carried out in the days before and after. Just last night, Ukraine appears to have struck more oil depots in the Kaluga and Tula regions.

It is still unclear which weapon systems Ukraine employed in these operations. Following the large-scale attack of 13 to 14 January, Russian media alleged that U.S.-supplied MGM-140 ATACMS short-range ballistic missiles and British/French-supplied Storm Shadow/SCALP-EG missiles were involved, including in the strike on a chemical plant in Bryansk.

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