Mick Ryan
Today marks exactly five months since the start of our actions in the Kursk region, and we continue to maintain a buffer zone on Russian territory, actively destroying Russian military potential there. President Zelenskyy address, 5 January 2025
Over the weekend, it emerged that Ukraine has undertaken what appears to be a limited offensive in the northern reaches of its salient in the Russian province of Kursk. While the size of the attacks is yet to be definitively confirmed, the nature of these combined arms activities – armour, fires, EW, infantry, mine clearance, drones, etc – means that this would have probably involved at least one, and perhaps more, Ukrainian brigades.
Ukrainian forces currently control around 800 square kilometres of the Kursk region, down from previous claims of nearly 1,400 square kilometres in the wake of the August 2024 offensive.
Like all military operations of this kind, it will probably be a couple more days yet before we have more clarity about this operation. However, given what we know about Ukrainian and Russian operations in the area since August last year, and the likely Ukrainian and Russian strategic objectives for 2025, I wanted to offer some initial insights in this special assessment into this latest Ukrainian offensive operation.
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