11 January 2025

Top Risks 2025

Ian Bremmer, Cliff Kupchan,

Risk 1: The G-Zero wins

We’re entering a uniquely dangerous period of world history on par with the 1930s and the early Cold War.

Risk 2: Rule of Don

The erosion of independent checks on executive power and the rule of law will increase the extent to which the US policy landscape depends on the decisions of one powerful man.

Risk 3: US-China breakdown

Trump's return to office will unleash an unmanaged decoupling in the world’s most important geopolitical relationship.

Risk 4: Trumponomics

Donald Trump is about to inherit a robust US economy, but his policies will undermine its strength this year through higher inflation and reduced growth.


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