EURASIA GROUP'S TOP RISKS FOR 2025
Top Risks is Eurasia Group's annual forecast of the political risks that are most likely to play out over the course of the year. This year's report was published on 6 January 2025.
OverviewWe are heading back to the law of the jungle. A world where the strongest do what they can, while the weakest are condemned to suffer what they must. And the former—whether states, companies, or individuals—can't be trusted to act in the interest of those they have power over.
It's not a sustainable trajectory.
We’re entering a uniquely dangerous period of world history on par with the 1930s and the early Cold War.
The erosion of independent checks on executive power and the rule of law will increase the extent to which the US policy landscape depends on the decisions of one powerful man.
Trump's return to office will unleash an unmanaged decoupling in the world’s most important geopolitical relationship.
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