Raphael S. Cohen
In early December 2023, I interviewed a retired senior Israeli intelligence official about Hamas’s Oct. 7 attack and the swiftly changing dynamics in the Middle East. Oct. 7, he explained, “was an earthquake, and the entire region will be dealing with the aftershocks for quite some time.”
While he didn’t predict where the aftershocks would occur, his overarching forecast of profound tremors proved remarkably clairvoyant. A little more than a year later, Hamas has been decimated as a fighting force, its senior leadership assassinated; Hezbollah has been seriously bloodied, its longtime leader Hassan Nasrallah and much of its high command killed; and the Assad regime in Syria has collapsed, its longtime dictator exiled. Indeed, the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East has been transformed as a result of these aftershocks.
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