9 January 2025

The Houthis Are Undeterred

Beth Sanner and Jennifer Kavanagh

The U.S. mission to deter and degrade the Houthis is not working. In the last week of 2024, the militant group launched a new wave of missile and drone attacks on Israel and shipping lanes in the Red Sea which led to strikes by the United States on military targets on the coast of Yemen. All told, in December alone, the Houthis fired on several U.S. Navy and merchant ships, and conducted ten drone and missile attacks on Israel. Israel and the United States retaliated five times in total, knocking out port and energy infrastructure and Houthi military positions, but the Houthis continue to fire back. In the process, friendly fire brought down a U.S. FA-18 fighter jet, thankfully sparing its crew. This cost-benefit ratio is not sustainable. Houthi operations and ambitions have not been seriously eroded, but U.S. military readiness and reputation have. Washington needs a new strategy, one that is focused on the sources of the Houthis’ growing power and not simply on its symptoms on display in the Red Sea.

Just over a year ago, in December 2023, Washington established a multinational operation to defend merchant ships and restore freedom of navigation in the wake of Houthi attacks that threatened some 12 percent of global shipping transiting through a chokepoint known as the Bab al-Mandeb Strait. The Houthis maintain that their aim is forcing Israel to end its war in Gaza, but they have indiscriminately targeted international shipping. After a United Nations Security Council resolution—adopted last January, though China and Russia abstained—failed to stop the Houthi campaign, Washington and London added an offensive dimension, Operation Poseidon Archer, to erode Houthi military capabilities. These U.S.-led operations, however, received little support from partners inside and outside the region—not even from those hurt the most. All the while, Russian and Chinese flagged ships, the illicit traders serving these nations, and Iran sail largely unbothered after paying or negotiating for safe passage.

No comments: