17 January 2025

Israel Deserves More Credit for the Victory in Syria

Michael Hochberg & Leonard Hochberg

Pundits and social scientists are now describing the confluence of regional conflicts across Eurasia as ‘World War III.’ Such reports [here, here, and here] are descriptions of ongoing events; in international affairs, prediction and explanation are both more difficult and more valuable than after-the-fact observation.

For example, the Wall Street Journal’s chief foreign-affairs correspondent, Yaroslav Trofimov, argued on December 13, 2024 that the multi-front war conducted by China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea (the CRINKs) against the United States and its Western allies amounts to “one common effort to destroy the international order.” The article’s title was: “Has World War III Already Begun?”

The author characterized the current global strife as a conflict between autocratic and democratic regimes, which is an insufficient explanation. This explanation does not provide clarity as to where these conflicts have arisen or why; to answer these questions, an understanding of classical geopolitical theory (here and here) is required.

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