Mikhail Troitskiy
Mediating in Public and Private: Can Donald Trump Achieve Peace in the Ukraine War?: The prospects for brokering a just peace in Ukraine will depend on the Trump Administration’s willingness and ability to undertake a sustained, focused effort in the coming months.
Success will require strategically backing personal diplomacy through incentives and threats, effectively using Washington’s leverage through sanctions, coordinating with allies, and maneuvering with other stakeholders such as China, India, and key Middle Eastern countries.
Brokering a Ceasefire in the Ukraine War
Attempts to reach a ceasefire have likely already happened numerous times. President-elect Donald Trump’s position has been marked by his stated understanding of Russia’s grievances and his readiness to meet with Vladimir Putin, balanced against his top Ukraine advisor’s promise to find an “equitable” and “fair” solution for Kyiv. According to reliable sources, soon after the November election, Trump asked Putin by phone to refrain from escalating the war. Members of Trump’s team also reached out to Ukraine, and the president-elect himself hinted that he prefers to keep any negotiation details private for now.
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