6 January 2025

By the numbers: The global economy in 2024

GeoEconomics Center experts

In May, US President Joe Biden announced a 100 percent tariff on all electric vehicles (EVs) imported from China. The administration had two main objectives: 1) Protect and stimulate US clean energy industries and supply chains, and 2) counter a flood of Chinese goods as Beijing turns to exports to compensate for its weak internal demand. For the United States, these tariffs are largely preventative and symbolic, as Chinese EVs make up only around 2 percent of total EV imports. For other Group of Seven (G7) countries, it’s too late for prevention, as Chinese EVs already dominate.

The Biden administration coordinated with concerned allies and, in August, Canada also announced it would levy a 100 percent tariff on EV imports from China. The European Union (EU) later imposed up to 45.3 percent tariffs on Chinese EVs. Economic stress due to Chinese dumping increasingly reaches beyond the United States––and even beyond the G7. Since 2023, Argentina, Brazil, India, and Vietnam have all begun anti-dumping or anti-subsidy investigations into Beijing’s practices.

The incoming Trump administration will now have a choice. It can revert to President-elect Donald Trump’s previous preference for bilateral negotiations, or it can continue to restrict China’s access in step with allies and partners, possibly by creating a “buyers club” to regulate standards and open markets to a select few.

No comments: