31 December 2024

Where the war stands, talking about the war, and 2025

Fabian Hoffmann

Hi all, this post is a bit different from my previous (and future) ones. I want to share my thoughts on where I see the war heading and offer some personal reflections on discussing the war over the past years.

This diverges from my usual posts, where I focus on my two main areas of expertise—nuclear strategy and missile technology—, topics I believe provide the most value for your time. If this post isn’t what you signed up for, feel free to skip it, and I look forward to reconnecting in the new year.

Where the war stands at the end of 2024

In my view, what this year has made more clear than anything else is that both sides face the finite nature of their resources as the central issue. The media has finally started picking up on this, though almost entirely in the context of Ukraine’s increasingly severe manpower shortage.

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