Bilel Kriaa
The Biden administration came to the Oval Office promising to end the United States’ “forever wars” only to find itself entangled in multiple all-out wars in Europe and the Middle East before its term ended. Due to the ‘unconditionality’ of US commitment to Israel, the Biden administration’s foreign policy has not only re-ignited the “forever wars”, but also has blindly pushed Israel to the abyss of its own “forever wars”. (1) Israel is now fully engaged in its invasion of Gaza and on the brink of getting entrapped as well in Lebanon if it does not abide by its ceasefire with Hezbollah and moves forward with an invasion of the country’s south. Both wars have no clear ‘day after’ plans; and the root causes of the conflict with Israel remain unaddressed.
Since the Israeli-Hezbollah ceasefire came into effect on 27 November 2024, it has been repeatedly violated by Israel, resulting in the killing of dozens of persons. (2) The truce agreement is thus on the brink of collapse as Hezbollah has retaliated with assaults from its side. (3) Brokered by the US, the truce calls for Hezbollah to withdraw about 30 kilometres from the Israeli border, north of the Litani River. Meanwhile, the Israeli military has to vacate southern Lebanon in 60 days. The renewed attacks showcase the fragility of the truce and Israel’s growing zeal to expand the war, which may not be in the interests of a second Trump administration that would try to avoid any further entanglement in the region’s conflicts.
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