24 December 2024

Is it time for Neo-Imperialism?

Ralph Schoellhammer

Imperialism is making a comeback, which is why I decided to turn this column into a three-part series to put forward my argument as to why that is the case. The often eccentric but also insightful Nassim Nicholas Taleb of “Black Swan” fame (the book about probabilities, not the movie about ballet) recently defended Turkey’s policies towards Syria on economic grounds:

Now, before I go on, I want to be clear that Taleb is a self-aggrandising Israel-hater, but also a great writer with interesting ideas. It is only in geopolitics that his Freudian Id regularly wins out over his Ego (not so much his superego, of which he has – in an unFreudian sense – more than enough). That being said, the idea that countries with centuries of experience in governance should take direct or indirect control over areas that have shown themselves time and again to be incapable of self-governance might not be the worst idea. In fact, in the often-announced multipolar age it might be inevitable.

While I still remain sceptical about the concept of multipolarity, for this would require at least one other country that is equal to the United States in its capabilities, I do think that there will be regional powershifts allowing for regional hegemons to arise. We see this currently happening in the Middle East, and what Taleb is enthusiastically referring to is nothing but a 21st century version of Ottoman imperialism.

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