Identifying desirable AI futures
Governments should consider the medium- and long-term implications of AI
The medium to long-term implications of rapidly advancing AI systems remain largely unknown and fiercely debated. Experts raise a range of potential future risks from AI, some of which are already becoming visible. At the same time, experts and others expect AI to deliver significant or even revolutionary benefits. Future-focused activities can help better understand AI’s possible longer-term impacts and begin shaping them in the present to seize AI’s benefits while managing its risks.
To this end, the OECD Expert Group on AI Futures (“Expert Group”) is a multi-disciplinary group of 70 leading AI experts that helps address future AI challenges and opportunities by providing insights into the possible AI trajectories and impacts and by equipping governments with the knowledge and tools necessary to develop forward-looking AI policies. Policy actions today can help achieve desirable future scenarios The Expert Group, through a survey, discussions, and scenario exploration exercises, presented its views on the characteristics of desirable AI futures in society and governance (see methodology in Annex A). These desirable futures embody the realisation of potential future AI benefits and the mitigation of key future risks. Positive futures will not occur automatically; they demand concrete action by policymakers, companies, and other AI actors.
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