Harrison Kass
-This shift in policy comes as Ukraine uses U.S.-supplied ATACMS and UK-provided Storm Shadow missiles to strike targets within Russian territory. A nuclear test, while unlikely due to its potential to further alienate Russia internationally, would mark a dramatic escalation not seen since the end of the Cold War.
-The Oreshnik test underscores Russia's capability to deliver nuclear strikes, heightening tensions as both sides brace for further escalation.
Russian Tactical Nuclear Test Coming Soon?
Russia has modified its nuclear doctrine, lowering the threshold for unleashing a nuclear attack to include conventional weapons strikes on targets within Russian soil. The threshold-lowering seems to come in direct response to Ukraine’s use of American-supplied ATACMS, and UK-supplied Storm Shadow, missiles against targets in Russia. As Ukrainian conventional attacks against Russian-based targets continue, the world is left to wonder how Russia will respond. One response being pondered: is the testing of a tactical nuclear device.
Would Putin Test a Tactical Nuke?
Were Putin to test a nuclear weapon it would mark an escalation in the ongoing conflict and would likely serve to alienate Russia from the international community further. The upside, from Russia’s perspective, would possibly be the enhancement of Ukraine’s respect for Russia and its nuclear capabilities, which would possibly inspire Ukraine to stop unleashing conventional weapons attacks against Russian-based targets.
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