14 November 2024

Megacities: Key Strategic Terrain of the Future


As we progress further into the 21st century, the world is undergoing an unprecedented urban transformation. By 2030, it is projected that cities will accommodate 60% of the global population and contribute to 70% of the world’s GDP. This rapid urbanization, particularly in developing nations, presents both opportunities and challenges. The strategic significance of megacities—urban areas with populations exceeding 10 million—cannot be overstated. These cities are becoming epicenters of human activity, economic growth, and, unfortunately, potential conflict. As such, megacities are emerging as key strategic terrain for future geopolitical dynamics.

Urban areas are expected to grow by 1.4 billion people over the next two decades, with the majority of this growth occurring in developing countries. Cities like Dhaka, Bangladesh, and Lagos, Nigeria, exemplify this trend, where rapid population increases are juxtaposed with inadequate infrastructure and resources. As urbanization accelerates, the risks associated with natural disasters, climate change, and social inequality will exacerbate existing vulnerabilities, creating fertile ground for illicit networks and potential conflict.



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