Steven Pifer
Russia after War with Ukraine: How Large a Threat?: Russia today poses a significant military threat facing Europe and the trans-Atlantic community. The Kremlin’s barbaric, unnecessary war of aggression against Ukraine, the largest, bloodiest conflict in Europe since World War II, will continue for some time, but it will not last forever. What kind of threat might Russia pose to Europe after the war concludes?
The answer: it depends.
Does Russia Win or Lose in Ukraine?
While the Russian military has momentum on the battlefield, one should not overestimate their progress. The Russian army occupies only a bit more Ukrainian territory than it did in January of this year, and far less than it did in mid-2022. That is not to say that Ukraine is winning, but the Ukrainians remain determined in what they regard as an existential fight. It would be a mistake to count them out.
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