Fabian Hoffmann
We don’t yet know exactly how U.S. policy toward Ukraine will evolve under the incoming President Trump and his new Administration.
While the worst-case scenario—where the United States completely cuts off Ukraine from additional aid—is by no means the most likely scenario, there is a good chance that Trump will reduce the level of support for Ukraine or use it as a bargaining chip with Europe.
The implications of this will vary across different areas, with Europe better positioned to compensate in some respects than in others. The following presents a short discussion of where Europe is relatively better and worse placed to step in. While not constituting a comprehensive analysis, it can provide some pointers for how Europe can approach the Trump Administration in an effort to future-proof military assistance to Ukraine.
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