10 October 2024

West Needs a Rapid Rethink as Russia Inches Forward

Nico Lange

There is bad, but not disastrous, news for Ukraine from the eastern front. After more than two and a half years and several failed major attacks, Russia is making significant progress near Vuhledar for the first time. The town lies on the hinge between the eastern front and the southern front.

Its impending loss worsens the situation in southern Donbas and deprives Ukraine of the opportunity to disrupt Russian logistics on the land route to occupied Southern Ukraine. The logistical importance of Crimea is diminishing as a result.

Even though the situation near Kupiansk, Kupiansk, and Vuhledar is developing negatively for Ukraine, Russia is falling well short of the goals it has set itself — recapturing the Kursk region by October 1 and taking the entire Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts by the end of 2024.

And it is suffering very high losses of 800-1,000 soldiers a day, although it is recruiting around 1,000 soldiers a day by paying astronomically high salaries. Russian men are often pressured by their families to report to the front to collect these high sums, albeit at the cost of life and limb. It has additionally lost many more than 600 armored vehicles, during the early assaults alone.

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