Can Kasapoğlu
1. Battlefield Assessment
As previous editions of this report projected, the Ukrainian town of Vuhledar is on the brink of falling to Russian forces. The Russian military has secured a foothold in the city’s east, and the Kremlin continues to send reinforcements to the area. With the town almost fully encircled, Moscow’s 430th Motor Rifle Regiment and 5th Tank Brigade have also entered the western outskirts of Vuhledar.
Notably, Ukrainian military leaders have relieved the commander of Kyiv’s 72nd Mechanized Brigade, the main formation conducting defensive combat operations to hold Vuhledar, and appointed him to another post. Open-source intelligence suggests that the Ukrainian military is gradually withdrawing from the embattled city, though the Ukrainian high command denies this.
In Ukraine’s east, Pokrovsk and Toretsk remain flashpoints. Toretsk witnessed intense urban warfare this past week, while detachments from Russia’s 90th Tank Division pushed deeper into Pokrovsk. The Russian offensive has now made it as far as Zavitne. Ukraine’s Office of the Prosecutor General stated that the Russian military executed 16 prisoners of war (POWs) in Donetsk Oblast, continuing Russia’s practice of extrajudicial killings.
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