Jeremiah Monk
Introduction
As the nature of warfare continues to evolve, military strategists are increasingly turning to artificial intelligence (AI) to transform how defense organizations plan and execute military operations. AI-driven military wargaming is poised to revolutionize strategic decision-making by addressing the growing complexities of modern warfare, including multi-domain operations (MDO) and rapidly advancing technologies like cyber warfare and autonomous systems. By enhancing the adaptability, speed, and scope of military simulations, AI is reshaping how defense organizations prepare for future conflicts.
The Limitations of Traditional Military Wargaming
For decades, military wargaming has relied on linear, pre-scripted models driven by human expertise. These conventional wargames, influenced by the Jominian school of thought, are structured around predefined scenarios with a limited set of actions and outcomes. Antoine-Henri Jomini's military theories emphasized geometric precision and decisive points, but this linear approach often overlooks the unpredictability of modern warfare.
In contrast, Carl von Clausewitz, the famed Prussian military theorist, highlighted the chaotic nature of war, introducing the concept of "friction"—the unexpected events that disrupt even the best-laid plans. Traditional wargames struggle to account for this chaos and are limited in their ability to simulate real-world conditions where factors like cyberattacks, misinformation, and geopolitical tensions play critical roles. AI seeks to address these limitations by providing a more dynamic, data-driven approach to wargaming.
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