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26 October 2024

Israel will attack Iran – likely before October 31st, 2024.

Ken Robinson

There have been extreme rising tensions between Israel and Iran in October 2024, particularly over Iran's recent missile attacks against Israel.

Israel has long viewed Iran's nuclear ambitions as an existential threat and has considered striking key nuclear sites like the Natanz uranium enrichment facility and other strategic locations across Iran.

Following the series of missile attacks by Iran earlier in the month, Israel is weighing significant retaliatory actions, and might see this as their best "Just Cause” opportunity to attack the heart of Iran’s nuclear ambitions versus a proportional retaliatory strike against Iranian strategic infrastructure.

The US has recently delivered special munitions to Israel, while the world holds its breath.

Israel has the ability to attack Iran, but do they have the ability to achieve their strategic objective to cripple Iran? Likely not, without further US involvement in the Air Campaign - with days to go before a Presidential election.

Despite concerns about the wider regional consequences of such a strike, reports suggest Israel might still target nuclear-related sites in response to the escalating conflict.

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