Ravi Agrawal
Last week, an Israeli patrol in southern Gaza chanced upon the person who had been at the very top of their kill list for more than a year: Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, the architect of the Oct. 7 attack on Israel. When his death was confirmed, it immediately raised some big questions: How much of a blow would this be for Hamas? How should Israel’s strategy now change? And if Sinwar was the person Israel was blaming for a lack of progress on a hostage deal, would removing him change that equation?
Big moments in a war can feel defining. But as several writers at Foreign Policy have argued, Sinwar’s death might not be the turning point many imagine. There’s a long history of states killing leaders of militant or terrorist groups only to see another leader step in.
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