Mihai Razvan Ungureanu and Dan Perry
The stakes for Ukraine could not be higher as the U.S. presidential election looms on the horizon. While former President Donald Trump may seem disinterested in the intricacies of Ukraine's struggle against Russian aggression, his potential return to the White House would have profound consequences for the war, essentially forcing Ukraine to agree to terms it otherwise would not.
His running mate, Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance, in recent days outlined a foreign policy vision that all but guarantees a win for Russian President Vladimir Putin, advocating for a peace plan that would freeze the conflict along current battle lines, effectively handing Russia control of its occupied territories while forcing Ukraine into neutrality, meaning a promise to join neither NATO nor the European Union. He also suggested that Europe and not Russia (nor the United States) should bear the costs of a reconstruction estimated at close to a trillion dollars.
While this seems like a capitulation, it aligns with a new Republican isolationism that stems from a combination of war fatigue, economic populism, and skepticism toward international institutions. There's a growing inclination to prioritize domestic issues such as the economy and immigration rather than being the world's policeman—and disdain toward global alliances like NATO, with many seeing these commitments as burdens that benefit foreign nations at the expense of American interests.
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