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16 September 2024

Iran can’t save Hamas

Patrick Hess

Another week, another Gaza ceasefire proposal. CIA Director William Burns, speaking alongside MI6 Director Richard Moore, recently told an audience in London that a new US-backed proposal would be put forward in the coming days. Burns has had the thankless task of leading US efforts to broker a truce between Hamas and Israel.

Currently, negotiations have stalled over the Philadelphi Corridor, the strip of land along the Gaza-Egypt border, under which the IDF says it has discovered dozens of tunnels used by Hamas to smuggle weapons and ammunition. Benjamin Netanyahu has said Israel must maintain a presence there to prevent its use as a rearmament route. Hamas, implicitly agreeing with this interpretation, has said such a presence would constitute a red line.

The singular focus on rearmament routes shows that Israel is confident that it has, as it stands, neutralised the threat from Gaza. The initial war aim of destroying Hamas was always slightly vague and overly maximalist. But after 10 months of war, Israel has devastated Hamas’s military capabilities and infrastructure, killed thousands of its fighters and assassinated many of its leaders, enough for Netanyahu to be able to plausibly declare victory.

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