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27 September 2024

After Devices Explode, Hezbollah Vows Revenge: What Comes Next?

Glenn Corn

Corn: Obviously, everyone’s watching what’s going on very closely. We’ve been doing that for a long time now. We’ve spoken about the fact that the Israelis are under increasing pressure to get their settlers back to the north. We’re going on a year now that they’ve been evacuated, about 60,000-65,000 Israelis, and they’ve been warning for a while that they are going to do something.

It’s a brilliant operation in many ways, technically. Politically, it remains to be seen what the fallout is going to be. But what are Hezbollah’s options? One, when Hassan Nasrallah says it’s a terrorist act and a declaration of war, Israel and Hezbollah have been at war already for years. Hezbollah has been targeting Jewish targets and Israeli targets and U.S. targets for years. They have blood on their hands. So I’m not sure for the Israelis it makes a huge difference.

Hezbollah has a large arsenal of weaponry that they could launch at Israel. They could probably inflict a good deal of pain and damage on Israel. My suspicion is they’ll look for a target to go after so that they can send a message to the Israelis that they’re striking back. But we shouldn’t forget also, to my understanding, that the Israelis thwarted an attempt by Hezbollah to kill a former senior Israeli official just before this happened.

This war has been going on for a long time. And my own sense is the Israelis are just getting very tired of it. And there are a lot of people pushing in Tel Aviv to bring it to a head, to an end, if that’s possible.

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