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26 August 2024

Ukraine’s Kursk offensive: big stakes, big risks for both sides

Ben Barry

Ukraine’s attack into Russia’s Kursk oblast has implications both in terms of lessons from the war and for Russian military strategy. Much is still not known about how Kyiv achieved its advance that has so embarrassed Moscow and surprised the rest of the world. However, what is known suggests that Ukraine’s success raises questions about some of the conventional wisdom that has built up amongst many Western commentators, military officials and the defence industry.

Challenging assumptions

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 has led to a growing assumption that defence is stronger than attack and that the ubiquity of uninhabited aerial vehicles (UAVs) means that the battlefield has become transparent. This has caused much scepticism that conventional combined-arms ground manoeuvre is achievable anymore, both in the Ukraine conflict and more widely.



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