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29 August 2024

Ukraine war a lose-lose proposition for all concerned

Alexander Casella

Some two and a half years after Russia launched its “special military operation” against Ukraine there appears to be little thought given to how the conflict could realistically end. Currently, both parties claim that their goal is “victory.”

For President Volodymyr Zelensky, this entails the return to Ukraine of all the territories occupied by Russia, including Crimea, and NATO membership.

For President Vladimir Putin victory means that Russia gets to keep the territories it seized from its neighbor and that Ukraine not only abstains from joining NATO but acknowledges that it is part of Russia’s sphere of influence.

In other words, each party demands the unqualified capitulation of its adversary as of today. Given the current circumstances, these conditions are not likely to be met, and if recent history is a guideline, they probably never will be.


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