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19 August 2024

The Kursk Gamble: Ukraine’s High-Stakes Play to Force Russia's Hand

Monte Erfourth

Introduction

The strategic landscape of the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has dramatically shifted with Ukraine's unexpected invasion of Russia's Kursk region. This operation marks a significant turning point in the war regarding military gains and the broader strategic implications for both nations and the international community.

The Objective: A Gamble for Leverage

Ukrainian Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi announced Monday that Kyiv controls 1,000 square kilometers (386 square miles) of Russian territory, far exceeding Russian estimates. Russian officials claim Ukrainian forces have advanced 12 kilometers (7.5 miles) into the Kursk region along a 40-kilometer (25-mile) front, capturing 28 settlements. Despite this, Ukrainian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Heorhiy Tykhyi stated that Kyiv has no interest in "taking over" the region. Ukraine has since expanded its control of the region.

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