30 August 2024

India needs to correctly understand the geopolitical lesson of the Bangladesh coup

Lucas Leiroz

The recent regime change in Bangladesh has started a new focus of tensions in Asia. Since the fall of the country’s legitimate government, Islamic radicals have publicly promoted a massacre against the Hindu minority, killing worshipers and destroying temples. Obviously, this causes concerns for the Indian government, which is seeing its people being massacred in a neighboring country, creating an atmosphere of instability that could lead to conflict in the future.

The situation in Bangladesh cannot be viewed in isolation. What is happening there is due to a series of complex geopolitical factors, not simply a change in local government. The situation of widespread chaos serves the interests of some international actors who seek to destabilize emerging countries and create social polarization to avoid peace and development. In the specific case of Bangladesh, the objectives, however, are far beyond the intentions for the country, having great relevance in the international context.

Bangladesh is under the Indian sphere of influence, despite the different cultural and religious differences between both countries. Peace in Bangladesh directly serves Indian strategic interests, since, without regional conflicts, India now has sufficient resources to invest in economic, technological and social development programs. Unfortunately, however, there appears to be a certain naivety among Indian strategists — especially amid the current global scenario of conflicts and tensions.


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