14 June 2024

A U.S.-China War over Taiwan: Why America Might Not Be Able to Win

Brent M. Eastwood

U.S. Military Strategy for Defending Taiwan Against China

The United States has maintained strategic ambiguity for years about what it would do if China attacked Taiwan. Now, U.S. President Joe Biden has brought new attention to the question over the years.

In an interview with 60 Minutes, Biden said on Sept. 18, 2022, that the United States would indeed fight to protect Taiwan against China. That follows remarks made in Tokyo in May of 2021, during which Biden said the United States would engage in battle to defend Taiwan. Currently, the Americans provide arms to the Taiwanese, but the U.S. has also recognized Beijing’s One China policy.

What would the United States do militarily if there was an attack on Taiwan?

From Wars of Words to a War of Missiles

Taiwan sits about 110 miles off the coast of mainland China. Beijing claims the island as its own. Chinese President Xi Jinping believes that total reunification is unavoidable, and he has not ruled out the use of force to maintain the One China policy. Any shooting war that draws in the United States would be bloody, with death and destruction mounting on both sides.

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