Pages

4 December 2018

The World,Built by China

By DEREK WATKINS, K.K. REBECCA LAI and KEITH BRADSHER 

China envisions a vast global network of trade, investment and infrastructure that will reshape financial and geopolitical ties — and bring the rest of the world closer to Beijing.

It is a modern-day version of the Marshall Plan, America’s reconstruction effort after World War II, which created a foundation for enduring military and diplomatic alliances. China’s strategy is bolder, more expensive and far riskier.

Its money doesn’t necessarily come with the usual rules. And the cost, for China and its borrowers alike, can sometimes be too high.

We examined nearly 600 projects that China helped finance in the last decade, through billions of dollars in grants, loans and investments. Taken together, they show the scope and motivation of China’s strategy.

41 pipelines and other oil and gas infrastructure help China secure valuable resources.

Oil and gas infrastructure

203 bridges, roads and railways create new ways for China to move its goods around the world.

Bridges, roads and railways

199 power plants — for nuclear, natural gas, coal and renewables — give China new markets for its construction and equipment companies.

Power plants

We found 112 countries where China has financed projects. While most fall under its infrastructure plan known as the Belt and Road Initiative, Beijing has pushed beyond those boundaries.


Belt and Road countries

are shaded red.

Europe

Asia

North

America

China

Africa

South

America

Australia

After years of honing its construction skills at home, China is now deploying them abroad, including a series of hydroelectric dams.
Some of the dams that China has helped finance or build around the world.


In terms of power output, many of them approach or exceed the size of the Hoover Dam:


Each circle is

a single power project

Colombia

2,400 MW

Under construction

Angola

2,171 MW

Under const.

Nigeria

3,050 MW

Planned

Argentina

1,740MW

Under const.

Laos

1,272 MW

Under const.

Pakistan

1,124 MW

Under const.

Hoover Dam

2,080 megawatts

Ecuador

1,500 MW

Sudan

1,250 MW

Pakistan

969 MW
Sources: The Construction Intelligence Center and China’s Global Energy Finance project at Boston University

Geopolitical Goals

China needs friends. And literal bridges can help build figurative ones.

Large ports in Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Malaysia — three countries along a major oil and commerce route from the Mideast and Africa — could someday double as naval logistics hubs.

Europe

Area shown on roads map below

ATLANTIC

OCEAN

Asia

TURKEY

China

PAKISTAN

INDIA

Africa

SRI LANKA

ETHIOPIA

Light red lines show

ocean shipping activity.

MALAYSIA

Dots show ports

China helped build.

INDIAN OCEAN
Source: Shipping data from University College London Energy Institute.

Beijing is heavily focused on its neighbors, lending them money for extensive road-building projects. Pakistan is running out of money to repay the loans, part of a broader pattern of what critics call China’s “debt trap” diplomacy.

China has a different view when it comes to labor and environmental strictures. To staff overseas projects, Chinese companies have flown in their own workers by the thousands, drawing complaints that they are doing little to create local jobs. Safety standards have been uneven.

And Beijing continues to export polluting technologies like coal-fired power plants, even as such projects have become unpopular in China.
A 945-megawatt Chinese-built coal-fired power plant near Sihanoukville, Cambodia.

Risky Moves

Western governments and multinationals generally steer clear of politically volatile countries. The Chinese government has been less skittish, lending heavily to nations like Venezuela, Nigeria and Zimbabwe.

But China’s lending is not usually largess. Countries that run into financial trouble must renegotiate their loans, putting them deeper into debt. Sometimes projects are left in limbo.

Ecuador spent over $1 billion to prepare a site for a $12 billion Chinese refinery that was supposed to be finished in 2013. It’s stalled.

Forest

Land cleared for

construction

QUARTER

MILE
The construction site of Ecuador’s stalled Pacific Refinery project.

Methodology

This analysis focused on projects valued at over $25 million that were partly or completely funded by a Chinese entity in the last 10 years. Projects that rehabilitate or expand existing infrastructure are included, in addition to new construction projects.

Data sources

In addition to our own reporting, we compiled information on these projects from the following sources:

The Inter-American Dialogue’s China-Latin America Finance Database
The China Africa Research Initiative at the John Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies
China’s Global Energy Finance, from the Global Economic Governance Initiative at Boston University.
Reconnecting Asia from the Center for Strategic and International Studies
China Global Investment Tracker from the American Enterprise Institute
The Global Chinese Official Finance Dataset from AidData at the College of William and Mary

Satellite images from Bing and Google Earth. List of One Belt One Road countries from the State Information Center in Beijing. Ocean traffic data from University College London’s Energy Institute and Kiln Digital. Road shapes from the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

No comments:

Post a Comment