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2 July 2016

*** Fragile states index 2016

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Copyright (C) FFP 2016
We are pleased to present the twelfth annual Fragile States Index. The FSI focuses on the indicators of risk and is based on thousands of articles and reports that are processed by our CAST Software from electronically available sources. We encourage others to utilize the Fragile States Index to develop ideas for promoting greater stability worldwide. We hope the Index will spur conversations, encourage debate, and most of all help guide strategies for sustainable security.

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Total
Very High Alert
1Somalia9.79.79.49.59.39.09.59.09.79.710.09.5114.0
2South Sudan9.910.09.96.69.09.39.710.09.710.09.710.0113.8
3Central African Rep.8.710.09.37.29.98.69.810.09.99.210.09.5112.1
4Sudan9.010.09.89.17.68.79.89.19.39.210.09.9111.5
4Yemen9.59.69.57.58.49.49.49.39.410.09.510.0111.5
6Syria8.410.010.08.67.47.810.08.99.810.09.910.0110.8
7Chad9.99.88.58.99.38.09.29.89.39.19.88.5110.1
8Congo (D. R.)9.19.79.76.88.98.19.39.710.09.29.89.7110.0
High Alert
9Afghanistan9.59.58.68.47.58.59.19.68.710.08.69.9107.9
10Haiti9.27.96.79.09.58.99.49.47.77.99.69.9105.1
11Iraq8.19.49.87.97.56.89.27.88.910.09.69.7104.7
12Guinea8.98.48.87.57.49.49.89.27.99.09.97.6103.8
13Nigeria9.17.79.47.48.87.78.89.49.19.79.96.5103.5
14Pakistan8.98.99.77.37.07.48.38.28.29.38.99.6101.7
15Burundi9.59.18.16.57.48.29.08.28.59.08.58.7100.7
16Zimbabwe8.68.77.58.18.28.38.98.58.47.89.87.7100.5
Alert
17Guinea Bissau8.37.55.48.38.78.58.99.57.59.19.68.599.8
18Eritrea9.18.56.68.07.58.39.58.69.17.48.17.998.6
19Niger9.58.07.77.28.28.07.89.26.78.98.98.398.4
20Kenya9.18.09.17.88.07.47.88.27.28.58.98.398.3
21Cote d'Ivoire8.28.08.37.08.26.88.18.78.17.79.49.497.9
22Cameroon8.38.08.57.88.16.38.78.97.78.19.48.097.8
23Uganda8.79.19.07.67.66.78.38.58.07.38.98.097.7
24Ethiopia9.39.58.67.36.76.77.78.38.58.18.38.297.2
25Libya5.18.08.36.55.88.09.57.29.39.69.49.796.4
26Myanmar7.38.39.96.07.96.48.78.78.68.48.67.596.3
27Liberia9.28.96.06.98.68.37.09.56.76.68.39.595.5
28Mauritania8.98.27.26.67.07.98.29.28.17.18.88.295.4
29Mali8.78.17.98.77.67.96.39.07.09.25.29.695.2
30North Korea7.94.66.04.17.78.910.08.89.68.58.59.393.9
31Congo (Republic)8.17.96.97.18.36.79.19.28.26.76.77.392.2
32Rwanda8.28.09.17.68.56.26.87.67.45.98.37.791.3
33Nepal8.88.09.56.77.27.07.17.47.46.78.37.191.2
34Sierra Leone9.27.95.98.78.58.87.19.05.54.57.88.191.0
35Timor Leste9.26.56.77.37.08.17.18.75.57.48.39.090.8
36Bangladesh8.06.38.97.56.96.38.07.87.67.89.66.090.7
37Angola9.07.37.76.39.66.18.89.27.56.27.25.690.5
38Egypt6.87.09.04.46.28.48.45.19.78.38.88.190.2
High Warning
39Djibouti8.57.56.75.58.17.17.98.17.56.67.38.989.7
40Lebanon5.89.58.75.15.86.17.85.97.48.99.39.389.6
41Burkina Faso9.46.84.77.28.46.57.38.96.38.18.17.789.4
42Mozambique9.55.55.67.78.97.76.79.25.86.76.97.687.8
43Sri Lanka5.77.99.27.97.35.67.45.38.57.68.86.587.7
44Malawi9.36.35.18.18.58.66.68.16.44.57.78.487.6
44Swaziland8.94.83.47.28.49.48.87.88.86.06.87.387.6
46Cambodia7.25.97.17.86.85.98.58.07.96.48.37.687.4
47Iran5.16.78.86.55.86.69.24.79.57.79.66.786.9
48Gambia8.56.53.48.46.98.18.18.08.96.06.87.286.8
49Zambia9.56.65.48.18.98.17.28.17.14.75.76.986.3
50Papua New Guinea7.94.76.57.49.35.87.09.27.17.27.17.086.2
51Togo8.06.84.87.68.46.58.08.36.96.77.66.285.8
52Solomon Islands8.24.66.56.69.27.37.07.95.46.18.28.385.3
53Equatorial Guinea7.73.66.35.78.96.29.97.49.46.78.25.285.2
54Philippines7.77.18.16.55.95.77.26.95.69.48.06.684.7
55Laos7.45.36.67.77.15.49.37.28.15.78.36.384.4
56Madagascar8.83.64.36.48.87.87.39.35.87.37.87.084.2
57Comoros7.54.75.07.67.28.26.88.46.56.97.57.583.8
57Tajikistan8.14.57.66.45.37.59.35.87.96.98.46.183.8
59Senegal8.37.56.67.77.67.65.27.66.25.96.66.883.6
60Uzbekistan5.85.77.36.07.16.59.75.19.47.38.84.883.5
61Guatemala7.45.88.27.08.35.76.77.76.97.36.85.483.2
62Tanzania8.96.95.47.37.36.46.18.86.15.26.07.481.8
63Venezuela5.24.87.45.26.97.08.77.28.66.88.25.681.6
64Kyrgyz Republic5.75.58.66.76.17.27.95.37.06.58.06.681.1
65Russia4.86.09.04.26.45.48.24.49.49.28.15.981.0
66Lesotho8.24.84.17.77.68.26.18.34.75.97.38.080.9
67Colombia6.77.97.06.37.83.96.56.17.27.07.66.280.2
Elevated Warning
68Honduras6.54.06.16.67.96.67.07.06.67.06.87.779.8
69Israel (& West Bank)5.77.59.83.57.04.06.65.07.77.18.17.779.7
70India8.15.58.55.87.25.34.97.66.27.67.35.679.6
71Nicaragua5.54.26.78.38.25.97.66.95.45.77.17.579.0
72Benin8.55.73.67.17.86.35.98.95.45.97.06.878.9
72Georgia4.27.78.15.15.75.68.54.55.87.09.17.678.9
74Thailand6.66.19.04.45.53.87.74.68.29.29.74.078.8
75Bolivia6.44.16.26.78.85.17.07.06.26.78.36.078.5
76Algeria5.46.57.95.46.36.87.85.56.87.77.15.178.3
77Jordan6.79.37.73.95.66.66.44.48.05.26.97.378.0
78Bhutan6.37.27.67.26.65.24.56.36.34.77.58.277.6
79Turkey5.18.89.53.65.94.86.64.67.47.87.65.677.3
80Micronesia7.63.64.09.58.59.05.76.23.44.85.69.277.1
81Azerbaijan4.87.96.74.05.63.88.95.18.66.47.96.676.3
82Fiji4.43.37.17.96.56.77.14.56.66.87.97.476.2
83Turkmenistan5.63.76.84.86.95.19.85.88.96.57.84.376.0
84Ecuador6.05.47.55.96.95.56.76.05.26.58.25.875.6
85Ukraine4.44.36.95.44.47.08.43.96.27.88.08.875.5
86China6.95.18.14.67.54.18.35.98.75.67.22.974.9
86Indonesia6.85.67.36.66.05.55.36.17.45.97.05.474.9
88Bosnia4.07.87.05.25.35.76.73.86.15.98.78.474.6
88Tunisia4.44.27.95.85.16.96.74.66.77.97.86.674.6
89Morocco5.05.67.47.96.45.06.85.47.05.46.65.774.2
91Maldives5.54.44.85.93.86.18.75.87.76.68.06.774.0
92Belarus5.33.87.13.14.96.28.94.48.16.38.37.573.9
93Moldova5.04.17.06.35.06.66.85.15.16.38.37.673.2
94Sao Tome & Principe6.44.44.58.26.28.75.86.13.55.26.37.672.9
95Paraguay6.22.86.05.58.15.27.26.46.16.87.84.572.6
96El Salvador6.65.06.27.56.65.65.06.66.57.04.35.672.5
97Saudi Arabia5.54.97.53.55.54.78.14.08.96.58.24.972.2
98Gabon6.84.74.05.86.75.07.76.97.24.77.15.472.0
98Peru5.24.57.67.07.63.47.46.94.57.36.93.772.0
98Serbia4.58.67.85.05.06.65.44.44.65.78.06.472.0
101Cape Verde7.24.44.18.27.35.75.56.24.25.45.57.871.5
102Ghana7.15.24.67.96.86.64.77.45.33.84.96.971.2
103Namibia7.35.26.06.88.47.03.57.64.05.23.56.671.1
104Guyana5.53.86.49.45.96.15.66.43.66.15.17.070.9
105Dominican Republic7.03.56.07.36.05.25.76.86.05.56.25.670.8
106Vietnam5.84.46.25.95.25.38.44.97.54.86.95.470.7
107Mexico6.24.16.75.56.34.46.26.56.28.05.15.270.4
Warning
108South Africa7.35.66.35.27.76.65.07.24.45.85.63.269.9
109Armenia3.36.75.65.94.76.57.23.87.05.07.06.969.6
110Samoa5.92.44.59.25.16.55.75.14.34.95.18.967.6
111Macedonia3.07.07.15.25.46.06.04.14.05.77.36.267.0
112Suriname5.03.05.87.06.36.85.25.84.85.15.86.166.7
113Kazakhstan4.73.27.33.34.46.68.04.27.45.47.64.466.5
114Cuba5.74.24.25.45.64.27.34.37.75.47.05.366.3
115Malaysia5.53.96.74.75.23.37.44.47.76.56.84.066.1
116Belize5.63.84.16.75.96.45.46.14.46.14.37.266.0
117Brazil7.62.95.74.38.04.55.96.06.16.44.93.065.3
118Jamaica4.93.13.68.15.67.15.06.15.26.63.76.065.0
119Cyprus3.75.06.54.26.16.45.02.73.24.17.99.264.0
120Botswana7.94.75.15.28.06.03.57.04.73.83.34.363.5
121Bahrain4.32.57.93.24.83.58.42.08.36.47.15.063.4
122Grenada4.93.23.88.65.06.25.64.03.45.95.66.863.0
123Brunei3.92.45.94.37.83.08.32.07.95.37.43.862.0
124Albania4.23.34.77.63.85.55.94.25.04.46.26.461.2
125Seychelles4.82.94.55.65.74.35.72.94.36.36.07.260.2
Stable
126Kuwait5.23.75.23.34.42.77.42.87.64.27.54.558.5
127Trinidad & Tobago4.72.84.47.85.14.64.74.54.36.05.63.357.8
128Mongolia5.32.74.03.06.15.04.25.64.73.75.56.856.6
129Antigua & Barbuda4.32.83.97.04.74.75.64.04.65.43.75.556.2
130Greece3.95.05.13.53.97.06.24.03.24.23.86.155.9
131Montenegro3.04.87.63.72.64.94.83.34.13.76.56.255.2
132Bulgaria3.94.05.34.34.65.94.73.93.53.85.34.553.7
133Panama5.43.25.34.37.63.13.75.34.55.42.52.953.2
134Romania3.43.07.04.24.44.95.74.03.93.25.43.852.9
135Hungary2.06.75.03.04.05.66.33.44.92.45.34.152.7
136Croatia3.37.56.04.23.55.53.12.63.83.74.44.852.4
137Oman5.02.23.12.24.34.26.53.77.44.46.62.051.6
137Bahamas6.62.74.14.74.74.54.04.83.34.34.53.451.6
More Stable
139Barbados4.12.64.15.14.86.02.72.72.64.44.25.749.0
140Argentina4.02.54.72.75.15.55.04.03.84.02.84.348.4
141Latvia3.13.07.74.54.33.73.63.12.83.24.34.147.4
142Costa Rica3.83.64.43.85.54.22.64.11.73.33.84.345.1
142Qatar4.02.04.62.84.92.36.31.56.52.35.02.945.1
144Slovakia2.54.06.53.93.74.84.52.62.72.04.23.544.9
145United Arab Emirates4.22.23.62.23.92.66.92.47.52.83.62.644.5
146Estonia3.02.66.83.73.43.72.93.11.82.95.54.043.4
147Mauritius3.82.43.84.14.04.23.23.53.62.53.24.943.2
148Italy2.85.05.01.73.15.53.92.32.24.24.92.543.1
149Lithuania3.02.44.64.14.74.72.93.72.73.13.03.542.4
150Chile5.42.23.83.55.43.33.54.23.22.92.22.341.9
151Czechia1.64.05.02.52.94.34.92.82.62.35.02.940.8
152Poland3.03.84.94.23.23.83.52.52.92.03.83.140.7
Very Stable
153Spain2.22.05.92.13.75.23.02.42.03.06.32.039.8
154Malta2.74.13.93.92.84.23.82.23.23.32.03.539.6
155Uruguay4.02.22.74.14.33.31.13.12.53.52.72.736.2
156South Korea3.31.73.13.63.22.13.42.12.91.83.85.136.1
157Japan4.53.43.92.91.84.31.41.83.21.32.64.035.1
158France3.02.77.01.93.44.51.51.32.33.01.92.034.5
159United States3.02.15.11.44.52.52.11.83.42.94.30.934.0
160Slovenia2.54.54.22.83.64.02.91.71.71.81.72.533.9
161Singapore2.71.42.83.04.02.23.91.54.31.74.01.432.9
162United Kingdom2.62.25.91.83.83.81.71.81.92.43.51.032.4
Sustainable
163Portugal2.31.92.71.92.75.01.82.42.01.52.52.529.2
164Belgium2.22.14.41.62.94.41.61.81.01.93.91.229.0
165Germany2.25.74.81.83.02.41.01.31.31.82.31.028.6
166Netherlands2.74.04.42.32.42.91.51.21.11.73.10.928.2
167Austria2.16.14.01.23.11.91.11.31.41.22.71.427.5
168Luxembourg1.73.73.11.81.71.21.02.31.01.93.41.324.1
169Canada2.12.03.61.92.71.91.01.71.51.92.51.023.8
170Iceland1.81.71.32.51.33.51.01.41.01.21.84.322.8
171Sweden2.25.51.71.21.52.01.01.31.31.81.81.322.6
172Ireland1.91.71.62.52.43.61.21.61.11.81.51.622.5
172Australia1.52.04.11.02.41.81.01.72.51.81.71.022.5
174Switzerland1.72.23.81.82.42.51.01.12.01.31.01.021.8
175Denmark2.21.84.61.61.82.20.61.11.71.41.41.121.5
176New Zealand1.61.53.81.82.53.80.61.60.71.41.10.921.3
177Norway1.73.03.81.31.71.70.51.11.62.21.11.521.2
Very Sustainable
178Finland1.32.52.02.01.23.70.61.01.01.41.11.018.8

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