Posted on April 7, 2014 by wikistrat
Wikistrat is happy to release today the report from its recent brainstorming exercise “Russia’s Greatest Challenge for the Next Decade”.
In February, both the Sochi Olympics and the unfolding events in Ukraine drew international focus to Russia.
Both events demonstrated President Vladimir Putin’s eagerness to promote and restore the perception of Russia as a global power. In 2013, he seemed to be on a roll after sidelining the domestic opposition and successfully tightening his grip on the Russian political and business elite. Most importantly, he seemed be restoring Russia’s clout as a geopolitical power by capitalizing on the foreign policy mishaps and weaknesses of its rivals.
Since then, the challenges that Russia and its leaders will face in the next decade have become increasingly visible. Wikistrat’s analysts have identified many of these challenges and threats, including:
- Risks associated with Russian power projection abroad;
- Systemic problems in the Russian economy;
- Transfer of power after Vladimir Putin’s term ends;
- Russia’s pressing demographic problems; and
- Dual trends of both increasing nationalism and persistent separatism.
During the month of February, Wikistrat held a collaborative brainstorming exercise to predict the greatest challenges Russia faces over the next ten years. More than forty analysts from Wikistrat’s global community of experts participated in the exercise; this report, authored by Wikistrat Contributing Analyst András Tóth-Czifra, is a summary of the brainstorming drill and the crowdsourced analysis produced therein.
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